Las Palmas vs Leganes Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.89
Draw
3.24
Away Win
4.63
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Las Palmas
Leganes
Iñaki González Zambrano 🟨
6'
Alex Suárez 🟨
21'
22'
🟨 Ismael Gharbi
Rafael Cruz Suarez 🟨
63'
81'
🟨 Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
3
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
8
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Las Palmas (4-4-2)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez
Juan Herzog
G. Bonfanti
T. Miyashiro
Kirian Rodríguez
Iñaki González Zambrano
Sandro Ramírez
Jefté Betancor
Manu Fuster
Leganes (4-4-2)
L. Zidane
Naim García
Lalo Aguilar
Ignasi Miquel
Marvel
Z. Buurmeester
Miguel Atienza
Y. Kechta
Rubén Peña
Ismaël Gharbi
Álvaro Morata
Player Ratings ?
Las Palmas
Valentín PezzolesiD7.1
G. BonfantiD7.0
José CaroG7.0
Leganes
Ignasi MiquelD7.3
L. ZidaneG7.0
MarvelD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Las Palmas
Las Palmas rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Las Palmas a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Las Palmas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 50.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.2% → 50.1%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.7%
+0.4 pts
Leganes win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 22.3%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Las Palmas
Draw
Leganes
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Las Palmas
Leganes
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
3rd
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
2.33
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.33
10.6
Shots/Game
11.1
3.9
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Las Palmas at home (4 matches) vs Leganes away (6 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.83
1.25
Goals/Game
0.33
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.83
25%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Las Palmas
Home form
W
W
D
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Leganes
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Las Palmas Wins
2
Draws
1
Leganes Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
2026-04-172025-2026
Las Palmas2 – 0Leganes
2025-09-202025-2026
Leganes0 – 1Las Palmas
2025-05-182024-2025
Las Palmas0 – 1Leganes
2024-08-252024-2025
Leganes2 – 1Las Palmas
2023-02-182022-2023
Leganes0 – 0Las Palmas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Las Palmas
vs
Leganes
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
70.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
46.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
25.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
49.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.6%→Latest 46.1%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.7%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Las Palmas's 10 matches and 7 of Leganes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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