Leganes vs Granada Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Butarque
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.18
Away Win
4.03
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Leganes
Granada
Naim Garcia (Ismael Gharbi) ⚽
4'
6'
🟨 Owen Emeka
Patrick Soko ⚽
7'
16'
⚽ (OG) Ignasi Miquel
Zico Buurmeester 🟨
29'
38'
🟨 Sergio López
52'
⚽ Alejandro Mendez (Sergio Rodelas Pintor)
69'
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
Rubén Albés Yáñez 🟨
78'
Marvelous Antolín Garzón 🟨
85'
Ismael Gharbi (Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed) ⚽
90'
90+2'
🟨 Pedro Alemañ Serna
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
21
Total Shots
21
12
Shots on Goal
7
6
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
9
Starting Lineups
Leganes (3-2-4-1)
L. Zidane
Lalo Aguilar
Ignasi Miquel
Marvel
Miguel Atienza
Z. Buurmeester
Álex Sancris
Y. Kechta
Ismaël Gharbi
Naim García
P. Soko
Granada (4-2-3-1)
Raúl Lizoain
Sergio López
Manu Lama
B. Gimber
Diego Pampín
Rubén Alcaraz
Gumbau
O. M. Chukwuemeka
Jorge Pascual
José Arnáiz
Alejandro Marqués
Player Ratings ?
Leganes
Ismaël GharbiM8.9
P. SokoF7.9
L. ZidaneG7.2
Granada
Raúl LizoainG7.7
Alejandro MarquésF7.6
GumbauM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leganes edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Granada edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leganes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Granada slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leganes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leganes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leganes have recorded two wins from their last five home outings, whereas Granada have secured only a solitary victory in their last five matches away. At this venue, Leganes have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures while keeping a clean sheet on three occasions during that same period. Leganes rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while Granada hold a slight advantage in attack. Leganes won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 6 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Granada's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Leganes's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while Granada's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Leganes
Leganes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leganes win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leganes win
Latest market chance 45.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.2% → 45.9%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.9%
+0.5 pts
Granada win
Latest market chance 24.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.4% → 24.2%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leganes
Draw
Granada
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeganesGranada
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
12th
5
Games Played
5
1.60
Points/Game
1.60
0.60
Goals/Game
1.20
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.1
Shots/Game
17.1
3.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Leganes at home (4 matches) vs Granada away (5 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.40
1.00
Goals/Game
1.60
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
50%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leganes
Home form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Granada
Away form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leganes Wins
3
Draws
1
Granada Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.2
Leganes1 – 0Granada
Granada0 – 2Leganes
Granada2 – 0Leganes
Leganes1 – 0Granada
Leganes0 – 0Granada
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leganesvs
Granada
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.4%→Latest 41.3%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.8%→Latest 47.3%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Leganes's 10 matches and 5 of Granada's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?