Mallorca vs Sabadell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.95
Draw
3.46
Away Win
4.28
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Mallorca
Sabadell
8'
🟨 Óscar Sanz
Adrian Fuentes (Arnau Tenas) ⚽
10'
Adrian Fuentes ⚽
24'
Manuel Morlanes 🟨
33'
Martin Valjent 🟨
75'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
13
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Mallorca (4-3-3)
Arnau Tenas
M. Calatayud
M. Valjent
Raíllo
A. Souhmahoro
Manu Morlanes
Darder
Álex Sala
Josep Cerdà
Fuentes
Adrian Liso
Sabadell (4-4-2)
Diego Fuoli
Ton Ripoll
Óscar Sanz
Edgar González
Miki Codina
Q. Liameed
Urri
Pere Pons
Ángel Baena
J. Priego
N. Gioacchini
Player Ratings ?
Mallorca
FuentesF9.1
Arnau TenasG7.8
A. SouhmahoroD7.3
Sabadell
Diego FuoliG7.1
N. ObolskiyF6.8
Edgar GonzálezD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mallorca edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mallorca slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mallorca arrive at home having secured five straight victories in their last five outings, while Sabadell have found just one win and two draws in their own last five away matches. Mallorca have scored in all five of their home fixtures recently, yet they have also kept three clean sheets in that same span. Mallorca rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 6-day comparison window, Mallorca's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Sabadell's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Mallorca points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Mallorca
Mallorca's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Mallorca win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 49.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
51.6% → 49.9%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 28.0%
+0.2 pts
Sabadell win
Latest market chance 22.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
20.5% → 22.1%
+1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mallorca
Draw
Sabadell
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MallorcaSabadell
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
7th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
12.2
Shots/Game
15.4
3.8
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Mallorca at home (4 matches) vs Sabadell away (5 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.80
1.75
Goals/Game
0.40
0.25
Conceded/Game
0.80
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mallorca
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sabadell
Away form
L
L
W
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mallorca Wins
3
Draws
1
Sabadell Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Sabadell1 – 0Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 0Sabadell
Sabadell1 – 1Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 0Sabadell
Mallorca4 – 1Sabadell
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mallorcavs
Sabadell
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.0%→Latest 44.9%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 48.6%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Mallorca's 10 matches and 6 of Sabadell's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?