Oviedo vs Burgos Head to Head, Prediction
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
3.22
Away Win
4.54
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Oviedo
Burgos
Aritz Aldasoro 🟥
26'
Aarón Escandell 🟨
29'
Alberto Reina 🟨
32'
67'
🟨 Jon Karrikaburu
69'
🟨 Grego Sierra
85'
🟨 Alberto Dadie
Estanis Pedrola 🟨
87'
90'
🟨 Victor Mollejo
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
21
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Goal
2
9
Corner Kicks
6
7
Fouls
26
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Oviedo (4-2-3-1)
A. Escandell
A. Ahmed
D. Calvo
C. Dominguez
S. Rodriguez
A. Reina
A. Aldasoro
P. Saenz
D. Villahermosa
J. Gonzalez
A. Isfan
Burgos (4-4-2)
A. Cantero
A. Dadie Izagirre
S. Gonzalez
G. Sierra
I. Vilarrasa
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
J. Gragera
P. Galdames
J. Llabres
C. Sanchez
A. Fores
Player Ratings ?
Oviedo
Dani CalvoD7.5
AisarNone7.1
Dani VillahermosaM7.0
Burgos
Unai VencedorM7.2
Sergio GonzálezD7.2
P. GaldamesM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Oviedo
Oviedo rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Oviedo a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Oviedo
Oviedo's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oviedo win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 48.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
45.8% → 48.5%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.8% → 29.3%
−0.5 pts
Burgos win
Latest market chance 22.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.4% → 22.2%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oviedo
Draw
Burgos
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OviedoBurgos
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
13th
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
1.33
0.33
Goals/Game
1.67
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.4
Shots/Game
9.8
4.1
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Oviedo at home (4 matches) vs Burgos away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.80
0.50
Goals/Game
0.80
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.20
25%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oviedo
Home form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Burgos
Away form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oviedo Wins
3
Draws
0
Burgos Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Burgos1 – 2Oviedo
Oviedo3 – 1Burgos
Oviedo5 – 0Burgos
Burgos1 – 0Oviedo
Oviedo0 – 1Burgos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oviedovs
Burgos
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded / game
0.90
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 36.3%→Latest 38.0%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.5%→Latest 43.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Oviedo's 10 matches and 7 of Burgos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?