Sp Gijon vs Eldense Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
3.87
Away Win
5.29
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Sp Gijon
Eldense
Pablo Vázquez 🟨
36'
38'
🟨 Alejandro Ibarrondo
40'
🟨 Justin Smith
63'
🟨 Fidel
Juan Otero 🟨
63'
76'
⚽ Javi Martínez (Jorge Rastrojo)
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sp Gijon (4-4-2)
Rubén Yáñez
Guille Rosas
Aimar Duñabeitia
Pablo Vázquez
Andrés Cuenca
César Gelabert
Nacho Martín
Álex Corredera
N. Iosifov
A. Sarco
J. Otero
Eldense (4-2-3-1)
Ramón Vila
A. Ibarrondo
Alex Serradell
F. Smand
D. Ruiz
J. Smith
Carlos Guirao
Fidel
Roberto López
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Manu Nieto
Player Ratings ?
Sp Gijon
Guille RosasD7.5
Aimar DuñabeitiaD7.2
Pablo VázquezD7.0
Eldense
Javi MartínezM8.0
Juan LariosD7.4
D. RuizD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Sp Gijon an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sp Gijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sp Gijon have secured two victories in their last five home outings, while Eldense have found themselves winless across four of their last five away fixtures. At home, Sp Gijon have scored in three of their last five matches and kept two clean sheets during that same recent sample. Sp Gijon rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Sp Gijon won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 13 April 2025, having won 3 of the last 4 encounters to Eldense's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.5 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Sp Gijon's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Eldense's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Sp Gijon.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sp Gijon win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sp Gijon win
Latest market chance 56.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
54.9% → 56.4%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 25.4%
−0.5 pts
Eldense win
Latest market chance 18.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.2% → 18.2%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sp Gijon
Draw
Eldense
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sp GijonEldense
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
20th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
0.50
0.50
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.0
Shots/Game
13.1
4.1
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Sp Gijon at home (5 matches) vs Eldense away (4 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.75
0.80
Goals/Game
0.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
40%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sp Gijon
Home form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Eldense
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sp Gijon Wins
3
Draws
1
Eldense Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.5
Eldense1 – 2Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon0 – 0Eldense
Eldense0 – 1Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon2 – 0Eldense
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sp Gijonvs
Eldense
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 46.8%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 48.3%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Sp Gijon's 10 matches and 6 of Eldense's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?