Sp Gijon vs Girona Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
La Liga 2
Sp Gijon
VS
Girona
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.03
Draw
3.36
Away Win
2.43
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Sp Gijon
Girona
27'
⚽ Y. Asprilla (P. Gazzaniga)
29'
🟨 David López
César Gelabert 🟨
34'
48'
🟨 Álex Moreno
54'
🟨 Fran Beltrán
76'
⚽ C. Perez (I. Morante)
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
20
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
0
7
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Sp Gijon (4-4-2)
R. Yanez
G. Rosas
A. Dunabeitia
P. Vazquez
A. Cuenca
K. de la Fuente
N. Martin
A. Corredera
N. Iosifov
J. Otero
C. Gelabert Pina
Girona (4-4-2)
P. Gazzaniga
A. Frances
D. Lopez
H. Zamorano
A. Moreno
Y. Asprilla
F. Beltran
I. Gonzalez
B. Gil
A. Ruiz
V. Vanat
Player Ratings ?
Sp Gijon
Álex CorrederaM8.9
Juan OteroF7.5
Pablo GarcíaD7.3
Girona
Paulo GazzanigaG8.9
Yáser AsprillaM8.2
Carles PérezF7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sp Gijon edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Sp Gijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Girona
Girona's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Girona win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sp Gijon win
Latest market chance 31.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
33.0% → 31.9%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
29.4% → 28.6%
−0.8 pts
Girona win
Latest market chance 39.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.6% → 39.4%
+1.8 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+2+10−1Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sp Gijon
Draw
Girona
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sp Gijon
Girona
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
2.33
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
11.0
Shots/Game
15.1
4.1
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Sp Gijon at home (5 matches) vs Girona away (3 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
2.00
0.80
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
40%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sp Gijon
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Girona
Away form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sp Gijon Wins
3
Draws
1
Girona Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2022-05-152021-2022
Sp Gijon2 – 1Girona
2021-09-032021-2022
Girona1 – 2Sp Gijon
2021-05-172020-2021
Girona1 – 0Sp Gijon
2020-09-262020-2021
Sp Gijon2 – 0Girona
2020-07-062019-2020
Sp Gijon0 – 0Girona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sp Gijon
vs
Girona
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
48.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
28.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.1%→Latest 48.8%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 54.4%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Sp Gijon's 10 matches and 7 of Girona's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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