Tenerife vs Leganes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.30
Draw
3.05
Away Win
3.60
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Tenerife
Leganes
15'
🟨 Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
Enric Gallego ⚽ (P)
25'
David Rodríguez Ramos 🟨
28'
Dani Fernández 🟨
61'
61'
🟨 Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Enric Gallego (Gerard Valentín) ⚽
74'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
20
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Tenerife (4-4-2)
Dani Martín
César Álvarez
A. Landázuri
José León
David Rodríguez
Daniel Fernández
Fabricio
Juanjo
Nacho Gil
Enric Gallego
Víctor Moreno
Leganes (5-3-2)
L. Zidane
Naim García
Lalo Aguilar
Ignasi Miquel
Marvel
Álex Sancris
Z. Buurmeester
Miguel Atienza
Y. Kechta
Ismaël Gharbi
Álvaro Morata
Player Ratings ?
Tenerife
Enric GallegoF8.2
José LeónD7.9
Nacho GilM7.4
Leganes
Y. KechtaM6.9
Ismaël GharbiF6.8
Lalo AguilarD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tenerife edge defence and head-to-head, Leganes edge recent form, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leganes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tenerife slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leganes have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Tenerife have also managed only a single win in their most recent five home matches. Tenerife have found the net in two of their last five home games and kept a clean sheet on two occasions during that same period. Leganes rate stronger on form, while Tenerife rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2024, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Tenerife's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Leganes's implied win probability has fallen by 0.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Tenerife
Tenerife's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Tenerife win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tenerife win
Latest market chance 41.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.8% → 41.0%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 31.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.5% → 31.3%
+0.8 pts
Leganes win
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.7%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+5+2.50−2.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tenerife
Draw
Leganes
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Tenerife
Leganes
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
8th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.25
Goals/Game
0.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.25
10.1
Shots/Game
11.1
3.1
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Tenerife at home (5 matches) vs Leganes away (6 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.83
1.00
Goals/Game
0.33
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.83
40%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tenerife
Home form
D
D
L
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Leganes
Away form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tenerife Wins
1
Draws
3
Leganes Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.2
2024-04-192023-2024
Tenerife0 – 0Leganes
2023-12-202023-2024
Leganes1 – 1Tenerife
2023-04-292022-2023
Tenerife1 – 0Leganes
2022-10-232022-2023
Leganes2 – 1Tenerife
2022-02-062021-2022
Tenerife0 – 0Leganes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tenerife
vs
Leganes
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
5/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
63.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
38.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
19.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
45.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 39.8%→Latest 38.2%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 45.7%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Tenerife's 10 matches and 6 of Leganes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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