Valladolid vs Cordoba Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio José Zorrilla
Sun 27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.41
Away Win
3.11
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Valladolid
Cordoba
Juan Miguel Latasa 🟨
3'
4'
⚽ (OG) Miguel Rubio
Luis Rodríguez Chacón 🟨
23'
Adrian Arnu (Julien Ponceau) ⚽
38'
45+2'
🟨 Kevin Villodres Medina
Víctor Fernández (Adrian Arnu) ⚽
54'
60'
🟨 Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Miguel Latasa •
62'
Victor Barbera (Yeray Cabanzón) ⚽
73'
90+6'
🟨 Diego Bri
David Torres 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
12
Total Shots
16
7
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
19
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Valladolid (4-1-3-2)
Álvaro Aceves
Trilli
Miguel Rubio
David Torres
Iván Garriel
S. Jurić
Luis Chacón
Víctor Fernández
J. Ponceau
Adrian Arnuncio
Juanmi Latasa
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Guilherme Fernandes
Daniel Budesca
Álex Martín
Rubén Alves
Carlos Albarrán
Y. Diarra
Isma Ruiz
Adnane Ghailan
Cristian Carracedo
Percan
Kevin Villodres
Player Ratings ?
Valladolid
Adrian ArnuncioF8.3
Víctor FernándezM7.8
Victor BarberáF7.5
Cordoba
Guilherme FernandesG6.7
S. El JebariF6.6
Adnane GhailanM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Valladolid edge defence, Cordoba edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Valladolid slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cordoba stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cordoba have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Valladolid have secured three victories in their last five home fixtures. Valladolid have found the net in three of their last five home matches and kept three clean sheets in that same recent sample. Cordoba rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Valladolid hold a slight advantage in defence. Cordoba won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 31 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Valladolid's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Valladolid's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Cordoba's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Valladolid
Valladolid's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Valladolid win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Valladolid win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.5% → 40.8%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 28.0%
+0.7 pts
Cordoba win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.2% → 31.3%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Valladolid
Draw
Cordoba
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ValladolidCordoba
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
17th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.17
12.1
Shots/Game
15.6
4.4
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Valladolid at home (3 matches) vs Cordoba away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.75
1.33
Goals/Game
1.75
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.50
67%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Valladolid
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cordoba
Away form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Valladolid Wins
2
Draws
1
Cordoba Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Cordoba3 – 1Valladolid
Valladolid0 – 0Cordoba
Cordoba2 – 1Valladolid
Valladolid4 – 1Cordoba
Valladolid2 – 1Cordoba
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Valladolidvs
Cordoba
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.80
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 53.5%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 58.2%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Valladolid's 10 matches and 4 of Cordoba's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?