Alaves vs Osasuna Head to Head, Prediction
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.29
Draw
3.07
Away Win
3.68
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
Alaves
Osasuna
L. Boye (M. Diaz) ⚽
27'
M. Diaz (A. Sivera) ⚽
36'
46'
⚽ A. Budimir (M. Gomez)
L. Boye (C. Alena) ⚽
51'
58'
🟨 Abel Bretones
Abderrahman Rebbach 🟨
62'
64'
⚽ (P) A. Budimir
L. Boye (A. Perez) ⚽
68'
84'
🟨 Rockson Yeboah
P. Ibanez (A. Perez) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
1
14
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Alaves (3-5-2)
A. Sivera
N. Tenaglia
V. Koski
Jonny Otto
A. Perez
P. Ibanez
A. Blanco
C. Alena
A. Rebbach
L. Boye
M. Diaz
Osasuna (4-2-2-2)
S. Herrera
I. Arguibide
A. Catena
F. Boyomo
A. Bretones
J. Moncayola
I. Munoz
R. Garcia
M. Gomez
A. Budimir
R. Garcia
Player Ratings ?
Alaves
Lucas BoyéF10.0
Ángel PérezM8.3
Mariano DíazF8.0
Osasuna
Ante BudimirF9.3
Moi GómezM7.3
Raúl MoroF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alaves edge recent form, attack and defence, Osasuna edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alaves stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Alaves stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alaves slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Osasuna stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 7 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alaves win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.3% → 41.9%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.7% → 30.9%
+0.2 pts
Osasuna win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 27.2%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Alaves
Draw
Osasuna
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlavesOsasuna
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
6th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
2.33
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.33
Conceded/Game
0.33
12.4
Shots/Game
9.4
4.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Alaves at home (4 matches) vs Osasuna away (3 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
1.33
0.75
Conceded/Game
3.33
75%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alaves
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Osasuna
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Alaves Wins
0
Draws
3
Osasuna Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Alaves2 – 2Osasuna
Osasuna3 – 0Alaves
Alaves1 – 1Osasuna
Osasuna2 – 2Alaves
Osasuna1 – 0Alaves
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alavesvs
Osasuna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 39.7%→Latest 38.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.0%→Latest 46.1%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Alaves's 10 matches and 7 of Osasuna's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?