Barcelona vs Vallecano Head to Head, Prediction
Camp Nou
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.13
Draw
9.70
Away Win
18.84
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
Barcelona
Vallecano
12'
⚽ S. Camello (A. Garcia)
Raphinha (X. Espart) ⚽
19'
Lamine Yamal (M. Bernal) ⚽
21'
F. Lejeune ⚽ (OG)
51'
59'
⚽ S. Camello (U. Lopez)
Raphinha (A. Gordon) ⚽
71'
90'
🟨 Adrià Pedrosa
Lamine Yamal (K. Adeyemi) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
69%
Ball Possession
31%
26
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Goal
5
9
Corner Kicks
5
4
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
1
3
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Barcelona (4-2-3-1)
J. Garcia
J. Kounde
P. Cubarsi
A. Christensen
X. Espart
M. Bernal
Pedri
Lamine Yamal
D. Olmo
A. Gordon
Raphinha
Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
D. Cardenas
I. Balliu
F. Lejeune
P. Ciss
J. Vertrouwd
O. Valentin
G. Bouare
J. de Frutos
U. Lopez
A. Garcia
S. Camello
Player Ratings ?
Barcelona
Lamine YamalM9.9
RaphinhaF9.3
Pau CubarsíD8.0
Vallecano
Sergio CamelloF8.3
Óscar ValentínM6.9
Unai LópezM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barcelona
Barcelona rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Barcelona an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barcelona
Barcelona's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barcelona win as more likely than it did 1 day ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barcelona win
Latest market chance 85.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
81.8% → 85.8%
+4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 9.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
11.9% → 9.6%
−2.3 pts
Vallecano win
Latest market chance 4.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
6.3% → 4.6%
−1.7 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarcelonaVallecano
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
16th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
3.50
Goals/Game
1.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
21.4
Shots/Game
13.4
8.3
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Barcelona at home (3 matches) vs Vallecano away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.25
4.67
Goals/Game
1.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
3.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barcelona
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vallecano
Away form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barcelona Wins
4
Draws
1
Vallecano Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Barcelona1 – 0Vallecano
Vallecano1 – 1Barcelona
Barcelona1 – 0Vallecano
Vallecano1 – 2Barcelona
Barcelona3 – 0Vallecano
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barcelonavs
Vallecano
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.7%→Latest 73.8%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 46.0%−3.2 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Barcelona's 10 matches and 8 of Vallecano's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?