Elche vs Celta Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.76
Draw
3.29
Away Win
2.69
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Elche edge attack, Celta edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celta stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Elche stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celta stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celta stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Celta have remained unbeaten in their last five away outings with a solitary victory, while Elche have suffered three defeats during their corresponding home sample. Elche have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept a clean sheet once within that same period. Celta rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Elche rate stronger on attack. Celta won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 3 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Elche's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 23-day comparison window, Elche's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points, while Celta's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Elche losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
Team Availability
Elche
No current absences reported
Celta
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Celta
Celta's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Celta win as less likely than it did 23 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Elche win
Latest market chance 33.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.9% → 33.6%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.6%
+0.4 pts
Celta win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
37.9% → 36.7%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Elche
Draw
Celta
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 23 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ElcheCelta
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
14th
7
Games Played
7
0.71
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.14
2.43
Conceded/Game
0.86
11.3
Shots/Game
10.3
5.0
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Elche at home (3 matches) vs Celta away (3 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.33
Goals/Game
0.33
3.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Elche
Home form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celta
Away form
W
D
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Elche Wins
1
Draws
0
Celta Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.0
Celta3 – 1Elche
Elche2 – 1Celta
Celta1 – 0Elche
Elche0 – 1Celta
Celta1 – 0Elche
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Elchevs
Celta
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 46.4%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.8%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Elche's 10 matches and 3 of Celta's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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