Malaga vs Levante Head to Head, Prediction
Estadio La Rosaleda
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.43
Draw
3.33
Away Win
3.11
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Malaga
Levante
Chupete •
9'
Dani Lorenzo 🟨
25'
Rafa Garrido 🟨
34'
Pablo Martínez 🟨
45+1'
70'
🟨 Adrián de la Fuente
Carlos Puga 🟨
90+2'
90+5'
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
2
3
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Malaga (4-3-3)
A. Herrero
Rafita
A. Recio
E. Galilea
J. Salinas
C. Dotor
P. Martinez
D. Lorenzo
D. Larrubia
Chupe
J. Cruz
Levante (4-1-4-1)
M. Ryan
N. Perez
Dela
A. Mandi
M. Sanchez
O. Rey
R. Brugue
E. Bardeli
J. A. Olasagasti
T. Fernandez
I. Romero
Player Ratings ?
Malaga
Alfonso HerreroG8.2
Ángel RecioD7.2
Einar GalileaD7.2
Levante
Mathew RyanG8.0
Manuel SánchezD8.0
Jon Ander OlasagastiM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Levante
Levante rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Levante an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Levante stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Levante
Levante's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Levante win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Malaga remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Malaga win
Latest market chance 39.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.0% → 39.5%
+2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 29.2%
+0.2 pts
Levante win
Latest market chance 31.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.0% → 31.4%
−2.6 pts
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MalagaLevante
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
0.33
Points/Game
1.33
0.33
Goals/Game
1.67
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
10.0
Shots/Game
10.7
2.0
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Malaga at home (3 matches) vs Levante away (4 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
0.50
0.67
Goals/Game
0.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Malaga
Home form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Levante
Away form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Malaga Wins
0
Draws
2
Levante Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Malaga1 – 1Levante
Levante4 – 2Malaga
Malaga0 – 0Levante
Levante1 – 0Malaga
Levante1 – 0Malaga
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Malagavs
Levante
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.0%→Latest 49.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Malaga's 10 matches and 7 of Levante's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?