Valencia vs Sociedad Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de Mestalla
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.83
Draw
3.37
Away Win
2.61
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Valencia
Sociedad
Justin De Haas 🟨
11'
José Gayà 🟨
12'
26'
⚽ Luka Sučić (Job Ochieng)
54'
🟨 Luka Sučić
Aaron Mayol (Hugo Duro) ⚽
57'
75'
⚽ (P) Carlos Soler
Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta ⚽ (OG)
84'
90+1'
⚽ Ander Barrenetxea (Carlos Soler)
90+6'
🟨 Orri Steinn Óskarsson
90+6'
🟥 Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
22
Total Shots
21
5
Shots on Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Valencia (4-4-2)
S. Dimitrievski
Pablo Maffeo
Pepelu
J. de Haas
José Gayà
F. Ugrinic
Aaron Mayol
G. Rodríguez
A. Danjuma
Javi Guerra
Hugo Duro
Sociedad (4-4-2)
Álex Remiro
J. Aramburu
Luken Beitia
Jon Martín
Sergio Gómez
J. Ochieng
Jon Gorrotxategi
Carlos Soler
Gonçalo Guedes
L. Sučić
Mikel Oyarzabal
Player Ratings ?
Valencia
Aaron MayolM7.8
David OtorbiF7.2
A. DanjumaM7.1
Sociedad
L. SučićF8.2
BarrenetxeaF7.8
Carlos SolerM7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Valencia edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Sociedad edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Valencia slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Valencia stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Valencia stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Valencia and Sociedad have both recorded identical recent records of one win and two draws alongside two losses from their last five outings, with Valencia playing at home while Sociedad faced away opposition in those respective samples. Valencia have scored in just two of their last five matches at home and managed only one clean sheet during that same period. Seven players for Valencia are unavailable, whereas Sociedad have two absentees ahead of the fixture. Valencia rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Sociedad rate stronger on attack. Valencia won the most recent meeting 4-3 on 17 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Sociedad's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Valencia losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Valencia win
Latest market chance 34.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.5% → 34.6%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.2%
+0.3 pts
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 37.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.5% → 37.1%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Valencia
Draw
Sociedad
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ValenciaSociedad
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
13th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.17
0.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.83
10.6
Shots/Game
13.4
2.7
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Valencia at home (4 matches) vs Sociedad away (4 matches)
0.25
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.75
2.25
Conceded/Game
2.25
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Valencia
Home form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sociedad
Away form
D
D
L
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Valencia Wins
2
Draws
1
Sociedad Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Sociedad3 – 4Valencia
Valencia1 – 1Sociedad
Valencia1 – 0Sociedad
Sociedad3 – 0Valencia
Sociedad1 – 0Valencia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Valenciavs
Sociedad
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.6%→Latest 49.5%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.8%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Valencia's 10 matches and 4 of Sociedad's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?