Vallecano vs Espanol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Butarque
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.28
Draw
3.51
Away Win
3.23
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Vallecano
Espanol
Álvaro García ⚽
3'
Adrià Pedrosa (Álvaro García) ⚽
26'
Unai López 🟨
45+2'
54'
⚽ Roberto Fernández Jaén (Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa)
63'
🟨 Marcos Fernández
Georgiy Tsitaishvili 🟨
67'
Pathé Ciss 🟨
70'
Gnangoro Bouare 🟨
80'
Alexandre Zurawski 🟨
90+1'
90+8'
🟥 Omar El Hilali
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
19
2
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
5
10
Fouls
15
5
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Vallecano (4-3-3)
E. Audero
A. Rațiu
F. Lejeune
Mujaid Sadick
Adrià Pedrosa
Pedro Díaz
P. Ciss
Unai López
G. Tsitaishvili
Sergio Camello
Álvaro García
Espanol (4-2-3-1)
M. Dmitrović
O. El Hilali
C. Riedel
L. Cabrera
Roger Hinojo
Urko González
Gabriel Moscardo
Javier Hernandez
Rafel Bauzà
Q. Hartman
Roberto Fernández
Player Ratings ?
Vallecano
Adrià PedrosaD7.5
Álvaro GarcíaF7.5
F. LejeuneD6.8
Espanol
Roberto FernándezF7.8
Javier HernandezM7.1
Bryan ZaragozaF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vallecano edge attack, Espanol edge defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Espanol have secured two victories from their last five away outings, whereas Vallecano remain unbeaten at home with three draws and two wins in that same span. Vallecano have scored in each of their last five home matches but have only kept a clean sheet once during that period. Five players are unavailable for Vallecano while three are absent from the Espanol squad ahead of this La Liga fixture. Vallecano rate stronger on form and attack, while Espanol rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Vallecano won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 23 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Espanol's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Vallecano's implied win probability has fallen by 4.8 percentage points, while Espanol's implied win probability has risen by 3.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Vallecano
Vallecano's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vallecano win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vallecano win
Latest market chance 42.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.8% → 42.8%
−6.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.0% → 28.0%
+1.0 pts
Espanol win
Latest market chance 29.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.2% → 29.1%
+4.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Vallecano
Draw
Espanol
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VallecanoEspanol
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
1.40
1.60
Goals/Game
1.60
2.80
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.4
Shots/Game
13.6
4.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Vallecano at home (3 matches) vs Espanol away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vallecano
Home form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Espanol
Away form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vallecano Wins
1
Draws
0
Espanol Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Vallecano1 – 0Espanol
Espanol1 – 0Vallecano
Vallecano0 – 4Espanol
Espanol2 – 1Vallecano
Vallecano1 – 2Espanol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vallecanovs
Espanol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 49.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 53.9%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Vallecano's 10 matches and 5 of Espanol's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?