Villarreal vs Levante Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de la Cerámica
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.52
Draw
4.83
Away Win
5.72
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Villarreal
Levante
13'
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
Ayoze Pérez (Alberto Moleiro) ⚽
41'
42'
⚽ Iván Romero (Jeremy Toljan)
45+3'
🟨 Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro
Alberto Moleiro (Ilias Akhomach Chakkour) ⚽
54'
Tajon Buchanan 🟨
79'
Georges Mikautadze (Alberto Moleiro) ⚽
86'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
21
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Villarreal (4-1-2-1-2)
P. Gulácsi
A. Freeman
Pau Navarro
Renato Veiga
Sergi Cardona
N. Saliba
P. Gueye
T. Buchanan
Alberto Moleiro
Ilias Akhomach
Ayoze Pérez
Levante (4-3-3)
M. Ryan
J. Toljan
Dela
A. Mandi
Manu Sánchez
E. Bardeli
Oriol Rey
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Brugui
Iván Romero
T. Fernández
Player Ratings ?
Villarreal
Alberto MoleiroM9.4
Ilias AkhomachF7.7
G. MikautadzeF7.5
Levante
Iván RomeroF7.7
J. ToljanD6.8
DelaD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Villarreal edge attack and head-to-head, Levante edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Levante have recorded just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Villarreal have suffered three defeats in their last five home outings. Villarreal have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Villarreal face availability concerns with one player out and another doubtful, whereas Levante have three players unavailable for selection. Levante rate stronger on form, while Villarreal rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Villarreal won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Levante's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Villarreal's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points, while Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Villarreal losing run
64%
Villarreal yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Villarreal
Villarreal's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Villarreal win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Villarreal win
Latest market chance 62.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
58.6% → 62.7%
+4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.0% → 20.5%
−2.5 pts
Levante win
Latest market chance 16.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.4% → 16.8%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Villarreal
Draw
Levante
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VillarrealLevante
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
5
0.83
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.40
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.80
16.0
Shots/Game
10.7
6.6
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Villarreal at home (3 matches) vs Levante away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
0.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Villarreal
Home form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Levante
Away form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Villarreal Wins
4
Draws
0
Levante Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.0
Villarreal5 – 1Levante
Levante0 – 1Villarreal
Levante2 – 0Villarreal
Villarreal5 – 0Levante
Levante1 – 5Villarreal
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Villarrealvs
Levante
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 63.9%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 59.2%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Villarreal's 10 matches and 5 of Levante's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?