Leicester vs Oxford Head to Head, Prediction
King Power Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.67
Draw
4.25
Away Win
4.63
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 4
Match Events ?
Leicester
Oxford
8'
⚽ M. Harris (M. Missanga)
34'
🟨 Kai Andrews
Emil Riis Jacobsen 🟨
49'
57'
⚽ M. Missanga (K. Andrews)
60'
⚽ M. Harris (K. Andrews)
77'
⚽ J. McDonnell (L. Lynch)
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
6
10
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Leicester (4-1-4-1)
A. McCarthy
J. Joseph
H. Souttar
L. Thomas
C. McFarlane
L. Page
W. Burns
B. De Cordova-Reid
S. Braybrooke
W. Alves
E. Riis
Oxford
S. Eastwood
P. Kioso
M. Helik
C. Brown
B. Spencer
C. Brannagan
J. McDonnell
M. Missanga
K. Andrews
S. Dembele
M. Harris
Player Ratings ?
Leicester
Sammy BraybrookeM7.0
Luke ThomasD6.9
Kamari DoyleM6.9
Oxford
Mo MissangaM9.2
Mark HarrisF8.9
Jamie McDonnellM8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leicester edge defence, Oxford edge head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Leicester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Leicester
Leicester's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Leicester win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 55.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.0% → 55.5%
+4.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
26.1% → 24.3%
−1.8 pts
Oxford win
Latest market chance 20.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.9% → 20.2%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leicester
Draw
Oxford
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeicesterOxford
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
15th
4
Games Played
3
1.25
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.6
Shots/Game
11.2
5.0
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (3 matches) vs Oxford away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oxford
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leicester Wins
0
Draws
2
Oxford Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
Leicester1 – 2Oxford
Oxford2 – 2Leicester
Oxford2 – 2Leicester
Leicester2 – 3Oxford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicestervs
Oxford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.20
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 52.6%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 53.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Leicester's 10 matches and 7 of Oxford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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