Leicester vs Plymouth Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
King Power Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
4.04
Away Win
3.56
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Leicester
Plymouth
38'
🟨 X. Amaechi
J. Joseph 🟨
43'
W. Alves (L. Page) ⚽
45+3'
H. Howell ⚽
45+5'
H. Souttar 🟨
87'
S. Braybrooke 🟨
90'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Plymouth edge recent form and attack, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Plymouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 48.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.0% → 48.9%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 25.2%
+0.1 pts
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 25.9%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leicester
Draw
Plymouth
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Leicester
Plymouth
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
12th
3
Games Played
3
0.67
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
15.6
Shots/Game
15.0
5.0
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (3 matches) vs Plymouth away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.40
33%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
D
D
W
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Plymouth
Away form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leicester Wins
2
Draws
1
Plymouth Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
2024-04-122023-2024
Plymouth1 – 0Leicester
2023-12-092023-2024
Leicester4 – 0Plymouth
2010-02-202009-2010
Plymouth1 – 1Leicester
2009-11-212009-2010
Leicester1 – 0Plymouth
2008-02-092007-2008
Leicester0 – 1Plymouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicester
vs
Plymouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 56.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
10 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 58.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
9 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Leicester's 10 matches and 7 of Plymouth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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