Luton vs Bradford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kenilworth Road
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.69
Away Win
3.26
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Luton
Bradford
4'
⚽ Bobby Pointon (Kayden Jackson)
46'
🟨 Callumm Connolly
Dan Gore 🟨
60'
67'
🟨 Antoni Sarcevic
72'
🟨 Kieran Morgan
Harrison Ashby 🟨
83'
90+4'
🟨 Macauley Gillesphey
Harrison Ashby 🟥
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
15
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Goal
3
14
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Luton (4-2-3-1)
J. Shea
H. Ashby
H. Odoffin
M. Andersen
G. Johnston
Daniel Gore
L. Walsh
J. Richards
K. Palmer
Emilio Lawrence
C. Marshall
Bradford (3-4-2-1)
J. McCracken
M. Pennington
A. Baldwin
George Christopher John Pratt
J. Neufville
B. Pointon
C. Connolly
I. Touray
K. Jackson
A. Sarcevic
J. Beesley
Player Ratings ?
Luton
M. AndersenD6.9
J. SheaG6.8
H. OdoffinD6.8
Bradford
B. PointonM8.0
K. JacksonM7.7
J. McCrackenG7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Luton edge attack and head-to-head, Bradford edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bradford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Luton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Luton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Luton enter this League One fixture at home unbeaten in their last five outings, while Bradford arrive with three wins from five away matches across recent campaigns. The Lions have found the net in all five of their home games recently but have only kept a clean sheet once during that same span. Bradford rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Luton rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Luton won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 7 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Bradford's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
50%
Bradford yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Luton win
Latest market chance 44.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.7% → 44.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 26.8%
−0.2 pts
Bradford win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.5%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Luton
Draw
Bradford
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LutonBradford
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
2.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.17
Conceded/Game
0.67
13.3
Shots/Game
10.8
4.3
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Luton at home (4 matches) vs Bradford away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
2.00
1.25
Goals/Game
0.80
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.60
25%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Luton
Home form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bradford
Away form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Luton Wins
3
Draws
1
Bradford Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Luton2 – 1Bradford
Bradford2 – 1Luton
Bradford0 – 1Luton
Luton4 – 0Bradford
Luton3 – 3Bradford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lutonvs
Bradford
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Luton's 10 matches and 4 of Bradford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?