Luton vs Stockport Head to Head | League One

Match Report

Full Time

2 – 0

Match Events

Luton

Stockport

Nahki Wells ⚽

50'

Dan Gore 🟨

56'

68'

🟨 Oliver Norwood

Callum Marshall (Jamie Donley) ⚽

76'

Match Statistics

38%

Ball Possession

62%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Luton (5-4-1)

Joshua Keeley

H. Ashby

H. Odoffin

M. Andersen

G. Johnston

B. Benagr

J. Donley

L. Walsh

Daniel Gore

K. Palmer

N. Wells

Stockport (3-4-3)

Oliver Whatmuff

Kyron Silveria Gordon

E. O'Connell

E. Pye

J. Dacres-Cogley

L. Bate

O. Norwood

Adetayo Edun

J. Diamond

K. Wootton

H. Wood

Player Ratings

Luton

N. WellsF7.6

M. AndersenD7.5

J. DonleyM7.5

Stockport

O. NorwoodM7.2

E. O'ConnellD7.0

Kyron Silveria GordonD6.9

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Luton edge recent form and head-to-head, Stockport edge attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Luton stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Stockport slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Stockport slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Luton stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift away from Luton

Luton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Luton win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Luton win

Latest market chance 41.7%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

43.9% → 41.7%

−2.2 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.4% → 26.5%

+0.1 pts

Stockport win

Latest market chance 31.8%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

29.7% → 31.8%

+2.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

4 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Luton

Draw

Stockport

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Luton

Stockport

Season Profile

This season

14th

League Position

5th

Games Played

1.33

Points/Game

2.00

2.67

Goals/Game

3.00

3.33

Conceded/Game

1.33

13.3

Shots/Game

16.4

4.3

Shots on Target

5.2

Home vs Away Context

Luton at home (4 matches) vs Stockport away (4 matches)

1.25

Points/Game

1.75

1.25

Goals/Game

1.75

1.00

Conceded/Game

0.75

25%

Win Rate

50%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Luton

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

4 of these matches from last season.

1.8

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Stockport

Away form

Won 3 of last 5 away

4 of these matches from last season.

2.2

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Luton Wins

Draws

Stockport Wins

Avg Goals

1.6

2026-03-212025-2026

Luton1 – 1Stockport

2025-11-082025-2026

Stockport0 – 3Luton

2013-03-192012-2013

Luton1 – 0Stockport

2013-03-022012-2013

Stockport0 – 1Luton

2012-01-102011-2012

Luton1 – 0Stockport

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Luton

Stockport

Recent Scoring Profile

2.40

Goals scored / game

2.00

1.70

Goals conceded / game

1.30

9/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

0/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

77.8%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

55.8%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

35.2%

BTTSBoth teams score

59.4%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 56.2%→Latest 55.8%−0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.7%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

8 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

7 of Luton's 10 matches and 7 of Stockport's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Luton vs Stockport Head to Head, Prediction