Oxford vs Cambridge Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kassam Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.15
Draw
3.54
Away Win
3.37
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Oxford
Cambridge
Siriki Dembele (Mark Harris) ⚽
15'
Cameron Brannagan 🟨
45+8'
50'
🟨 Sam Curtis
57'
⚽ Ben Knight (Dominic Ball)
63'
🟨 Ben Knight
66'
🟨 Shayne Lavery
71'
🟨 Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
87'
🟨 Kelland Watts
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
10
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
8
11
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Oxford (4-2-3-1)
S. Eastwood
P. Kioso
M. Helik
C. Brown
J. Currie
C. Brannagan
Jamie Carson McDonnell
M. Missanga
Kai Andrews
S. Dembélé
M. Harris
Cambridge (4-2-3-1)
J. Eastwood
S. Curtis
K. Watts
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
Callum Perry
O. Moxon
D. Ball
B. Knight
P. Mpanzu
S. Kaikai
G. Yahyai
Player Ratings ?
Oxford
S. DembéléM8.2
M. HarrisF7.2
T. GoodrhamF6.9
Cambridge
B. KnightM8.2
D. BallM7.1
J. EastwoodG6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oxford edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oxford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cambridge have secured two victories and suffered a solitary defeat in their last five away outings, while Oxford have also registered two wins from their last five home fixtures. Oxford have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have kept just two clean sheets during that same span. Oxford rate stronger on form, attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Oxford won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 26 December 2023, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Cambridge's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
56%
Cambridge yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oxford win
Latest market chance 44.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.6% → 44.2%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 27.5%
−0.5 pts
Cambridge win
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.4% → 28.3%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oxford
Draw
Cambridge
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OxfordCambridge
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
1.83
2.40
Goals/Game
1.83
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.2
Shots/Game
12.4
4.5
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Oxford at home (3 matches) vs Cambridge away (4 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
33%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oxford
Home form
W
L
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cambridge
Away form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oxford Wins
3
Draws
0
Cambridge Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Oxford2 – 1Cambridge
Cambridge2 – 0Oxford
Cambridge1 – 0Oxford
Oxford1 – 0Cambridge
Oxford4 – 2Cambridge
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oxfordvs
Cambridge
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 49.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 53.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Oxford's 10 matches and 4 of Cambridge's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?