Peterboro vs Doncaster Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
ABAX Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.56
Draw
3.64
Away Win
2.64
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Peterboro
Doncaster
15'
⚽ Alfie May (Leon Ayinde)
Joshua Feeney 🟨
36'
88'
⚽ Isaac Hutchinson (Jordan Thomas)
Harry Leonard 🟨
90+2'
90+2'
🟨 Jack Senior
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
14
Total Shots
9
0
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Peterboro (4-2-3-1)
A. Bass
C. Johnston
Joshua Feeney
D. Okagbue
Harley Mills
L. Kelly
Harrison Jones
Bolu Shofowoke
H. Leonard
O. Edwards
D. Ormerod
Doncaster (3-4-2-1)
Tommy Simkin
S. Grehan
N. Byrne
J. Husband
L. Ayinde
G. Broadbent
R. Gotts
J. Senior
O. Bailey
A. May
B. Hanlan
Player Ratings ?
Peterboro
C. JohnstonD7.0
Joshua FeeneyD6.9
D. OkagbueD6.7
Doncaster
A. MayM8.1
I. HutchinsonM7.7
L. AyindeM7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Doncaster edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Doncaster stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Doncaster stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Doncaster slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Doncaster stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Doncaster have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Peterboro have managed just one win and two draws in their corresponding home fixtures over the same span. At home, Peterboro have found the net in three of their last five matches while also keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that identical period. Doncaster rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Doncaster won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Peterboro's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Peterboro's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points, while Doncaster's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Peterboro
Peterboro's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Peterboro win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 37.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
40.4% → 37.6%
−2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 26.3%
+0.1 pts
Doncaster win
Latest market chance 36.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.4% → 36.1%
+2.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterboro
Draw
Doncaster
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Peterboro
Doncaster
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
24th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
0.50
0.67
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.4
Shots/Game
13.6
2.9
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Peterboro at home (4 matches) vs Doncaster away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterboro
Home form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Doncaster
Away form
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterboro Wins
1
Draws
1
Doncaster Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
2026-05-022025-2026
Peterboro1 – 3Doncaster
2025-11-292025-2026
Doncaster2 – 1Peterboro
2021-05-092020-2021
Doncaster1 – 4Peterboro
2021-04-272020-2021
Peterboro2 – 2Doncaster
2019-12-262019-2020
Peterboro0 – 3Doncaster
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterboro
vs
Doncaster
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
59.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.2%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 63.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Peterboro's 10 matches and 4 of Doncaster's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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