Reading vs Notts County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Madejski Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.82
Draw
3.72
Away Win
4.38
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Reading
Notts County
24'
🟨 Hindolo Mustapha
Jack Marriott (Haydon Roberts) ⚽
49'
Jack Marriott (Kyreece Joshua Lisbie) ⚽
72'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie 🟨
90+1'
P. Lane 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
17
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
1
13
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Reading (4-2-3-1)
Joel Pereira
U. Godwin-Malife
P. O'Connor
Benn David Ward
H. Roberts
L. Wing
A. Rinomhota
Kyreece Lisbie
George Earthy
P. Lane
J. Marriott
Notts County (3-4-2-1)
J. Gibbons
J. Gibbons
L. Ness
J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla
R. Finneran
J. Evans
D. Lipsiuc
H. Mustapha
O. Cooper
D. Kanu
Player Ratings ?
Reading
J. MarriottF9.1
Benn David WardD8.0
H. RobertsD7.5
Notts County
C. RobertsF6.9
J. GibbonsD6.8
J. BedeauD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Reading edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Notts County edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Notts County slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Reading slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Notts County have drawn three times in their last five away outings, while Reading have won two of their last five home fixtures. Reading have scored in four of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Notts County hold a slight advantage in form, while Reading rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2002. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Notts County points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Reading win
Latest market chance 51.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.7% → 51.8%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.9%
+0.1 pts
Notts County win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 22.3%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Reading
Draw
Notts County
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ReadingNotts County
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
16th
5
Games Played
6
1.40
Points/Game
1.17
2.40
Goals/Game
1.17
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.17
17.0
Shots/Game
12.3
5.2
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Reading at home (5 matches) vs Notts County away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.75
2.80
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.50
60%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Reading
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Notts County
Away form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Reading Wins
4
Draws
0
Notts County Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.2
Reading2 – 1Notts County
Notts County3 – 4Reading
Reading2 – 1Notts County
Notts County3 – 2Reading
Notts County1 – 2Reading
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Readingvs
Notts County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.9%→Latest 51.4%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 54.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Reading's 10 matches and 4 of Notts County's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?