Sheffield Weds vs Wigan Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Hillsborough
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.13
Away Win
5.16
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Sheffield Weds
Wigan
50'
🟨 Reggie Walsh
Liam Cooper 🟨
53'
Harry Gray 🟨
90'
90+2'
🟨 Connor Barrett
90+3'
🟨 Dara James Morgan Costelloe
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
12
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
7
7
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sheffield Weds (4-2-3-1)
J. Lumley
Y. Valery
Ricardo
L. Cooper
R. James
B. Bannan
B. Mitchell
K. Morrison
C. Slattery
J. Lowe
Mason Paul James Burstow
Wigan (4-2-3-1)
J. Whitworth
J. Carragher
F. Burns
M. Fox
J. Mellish
Charlie Gray
M. Power
F. Murray
J. Weir
R. Walsh
S. Perkins
Player Ratings ?
Sheffield Weds
J. LumleyG7.3
RicardoD7.2
Y. ValeryD7.1
Wigan
F. BurnsD7.2
J. MellishD7.1
J. WhitworthG7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Sheffield Weds an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sheffield Weds have enjoyed a strong run at home with four wins from their last five outings, while Wigan have struggled away with just one victory and three defeats in that same period. The Blades have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that span, showing a mixed defensive record alongside their attacking output. Sheffield Weds rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Sheffield Weds won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 February 2022, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Wigan's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Sheffield Weds's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Wigan's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Sheffield Weds.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Wigan losing run
5/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Sheffield Weds points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sheffield Weds win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sheffield Weds win
Latest market chance 57.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
50.8% → 57.3%
+6.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.0% → 23.3%
−1.7 pts
Wigan win
Latest market chance 19.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.2% → 19.3%
−4.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+6.5+3.250−3.25Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sheffield Weds
Draw
Wigan
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sheffield Weds
Wigan
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
24th
5
Games Played
5
2.40
Points/Game
0.60
2.60
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.20
14.9
Shots/Game
14.7
5.7
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Sheffield Weds at home (4 matches) vs Wigan away (3 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.33
1.75
Goals/Game
0.67
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.33
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sheffield Weds
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Wigan
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sheffield Weds Wins
4
Draws
0
Wigan Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2022-02-082021-2022
Sheffield Weds1 – 0Wigan
2021-09-282021-2022
Wigan1 – 2Sheffield Weds
2020-01-282019-2020
Wigan2 – 1Sheffield Weds
2019-10-052019-2020
Sheffield Weds1 – 0Wigan
2019-01-192018-2019
Sheffield Weds1 – 0Wigan
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sheffield Weds
vs
Wigan
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
37.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 58.5%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 57.7%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Sheffield Weds's 10 matches and 5 of Wigan's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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