Stevenage vs Wigan Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
SPORTA Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.33
Away Win
3.40
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stevenage
Stevenage rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stevenage an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wigan arrive at this fixture with a poor away record of three defeats and two draws from their last five outings, while Stevenage have secured two victories and one draw in their corresponding home sample. Stevenage have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept a single clean sheet during that same period. Stevenage rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Stevenage won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 2 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Wigan's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Stevenage.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Wigan losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Wigan points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Stevenage
No current absences reported
Wigan
No current absences reported
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 42.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.4% → 42.7%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 29.0%
+0.3 pts
Wigan win
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.9% → 28.3%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stevenage
Draw
Wigan
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StevenageWigan
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
24th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
0.57
1.57
Goals/Game
0.71
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.71
10.6
Shots/Game
14.7
3.9
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Stevenage at home (3 matches) vs Wigan away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.33
1.67
Goals/Game
0.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stevenage
Home form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wigan
Away form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stevenage Wins
2
Draws
2
Wigan Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Stevenage1 – 0Wigan
Wigan0 – 0Stevenage
Stevenage1 – 2Wigan
Wigan0 – 0Stevenage
Wigan2 – 3Stevenage
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stevenagevs
Wigan
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
8/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.9%→Latest 45.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 50.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Stevenage's 10 matches and 3 of Wigan's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?