Stockport vs Leicester Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Edgeley Park
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.88
Draw
3.98
Away Win
3.81
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 4
Match Events ?
Stockport
Leicester
11'
⚽ Liam Cullen (Louis Page)
Jack Diamond (Lewis Bate) ⚽
22'
30'
⚽ Emil Riis Jakobsen
Ethan Pye 🟨
36'
48'
⚽ Emil Riis Jakobsen (William Thomas-Alves)
50'
🟨 Louis Page
52'
⚽ John Lundstram (Louis Page)
Oliver Norwood ⚽
57'
Kyle Wootton ⚽
61'
Kyron Gordon 🟨
63'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
18
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
1
7
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Stockport (3-4-3)
Oliver Whatmuff
Kyron Silveria Gordon
E. O'Connell
E. Pye
R. Glover
L. Bate
O. Norwood
B. Osborn
J. Diamond
K. Wootton
H. Wood
Leicester (4-1-4-1)
A. McCarthy
Jayden Joseph
W. O'Hora
H. Souttar
L. Thomas
L. Page
L. Cullen
S. Braybrooke
J. Lundstram
W. Alves
E. Riis
Player Ratings ?
Stockport
O. NorwoodM8.2
K. WoottonF7.6
J. DiamondF7.4
Leicester
E. RiisF8.7
L. PageM7.5
J. LundstramM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stockport edge attack, Leicester edge defence, recent form and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leicester arrive at this League One fixture with an impressive away record, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws, while Stockport have won three of their home matches but suffered two defeats over the same period. At home, Stockport have scored in each of their last five matches yet have only managed one clean sheet during that same span. Stockport rate stronger on attack, while Leicester rate stronger on defence, while form and head-to-head are closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2009. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Stockport
Stockport's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Stockport win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stockport win
Latest market chance 50.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
48.4% → 50.1%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 24.8%
−0.5 pts
Leicester win
Latest market chance 25.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.3% → 25.2%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stockport
Draw
Leicester
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StockportLeicester
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
18th
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
1.00
2.60
Goals/Game
0.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.40
16.4
Shots/Game
15.6
5.2
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Stockport at home (4 matches) vs Leicester away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
2.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stockport
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Leicester
Away form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stockport Wins
0
Draws
2
Leicester Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.0
Leicester1 – 1Stockport
Stockport0 – 0Leicester
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stockportvs
Leicester
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 59.2%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 59.9%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Stockport's 10 matches and 5 of Leicester's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?