Accrington vs Crawley Town Head to Head, Prediction
The Wham Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.03
Draw
3.65
Away Win
3.47
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Accrington
Crawley Town
Charlie Caton ⚽
4'
20'
⚽ Danilo Orsi
Devon matthews 🟨
30'
Farrend Rawson 🟨
42'
45+3'
🟨 Priestley Farquharson
Shaun Whalley 🟨
53'
Charlie Caton ⚽
55'
61'
🟨 Klaudio Krasniqi
Devon matthews (Josh Woods) ⚽
63'
David Tutonda 🟨
73'
79'
⚽ Pemi Aderoju (Kellan Gordon)
Match Statistics ?
37%
Ball Possession
63%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
5
1
Corner Kicks
4
21
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Accrington (3-4-1-2)
L. Moulden
D. Matthews
F. Rawson
J. Anderson
D. Love
J. Woods
L. Coyle
D. Tutonda
S. Whalley
T. Walton
C. Caton
Crawley Town (4-1-4-1)
J. Izquierdo
A. Odimayo
P. Farquharson
C. Barker
A. Adeyemo
K. Krasniqi
M. Ebiowei
L. Watson
J. Arthurs
O. Kamara
D. Orsi-Dadomo
Player Ratings ?
Accrington
C. CatonF9.2
C. StocktonF6.6
T. WaltonF6.5
Crawley Town
D. OrsiF7.5
P. AderojuF7.0
Osman KamaraM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Crawley Town
Crawley Town rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Accrington edge attack, giving Crawley Town a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Crawley Town stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Accrington stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Crawley Town stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crawley Town stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Accrington
Accrington's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Accrington win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Accrington win
Latest market chance 46.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
44.0% → 46.3%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.8% → 26.8%
−1.0 pts
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 26.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.3% → 26.9%
−1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Accrington
Draw
Crawley Town
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AccringtonCrawley Town
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
17th
4
Games Played
4
0.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
0.75
2.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
14.6
Shots/Game
13.9
4.9
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Accrington at home (5 matches) vs Crawley Town away (4 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.00
1.80
Goals/Game
1.25
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.75
40%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Accrington
Home form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crawley Town
Away form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Accrington Wins
0
Draws
2
Crawley Town Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Accrington3 – 3Crawley Town
Crawley Town1 – 1Accrington
Accrington0 – 1Crawley Town
Crawley Town3 – 1Accrington
Crawley Town2 – 1Accrington
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Accringtonvs
Crawley Town
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 54.5%+5.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 57.6%+4.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Accrington's 10 matches and 6 of Crawley Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?