Accrington vs Grimsby Head to Head, Prediction
The Wham Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.56
Draw
3.72
Away Win
1.98
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Accrington
Grimsby
6'
⚽ (OG) J. Anderson
38'
⚽ A. Cook (K. Green)
J. Woods ⚽ (P)
45+7'
T. Walton (D. Love) ⚽
60'
S. Whalley 🟨
70'
76'
🟨 C. McJannet
J. Woods 🟨
89'
D. Matthews 🟨
90+1'
J. Anderson 🟨
90+8'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Grimsby
Grimsby rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Grimsby an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Accrington win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.4%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 26.7%
−0.3 pts
Grimsby win
Latest market chance 46.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.5% → 46.9%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Accrington
Draw
Grimsby
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AccringtonGrimsby
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
0.33
Points/Game
1.67
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
2.33
Conceded/Game
0.67
14.6
Shots/Game
15.7
4.9
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Accrington at home (5 matches) vs Grimsby away (4 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.75
1.80
Goals/Game
1.25
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.50
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Accrington
Home form
L
W
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Grimsby
Away form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Accrington Wins
1
Draws
2
Grimsby Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Grimsby1 – 0Accrington
Accrington1 – 1Grimsby
Accrington3 – 2Grimsby
Grimsby5 – 2Accrington
Accrington0 – 0Grimsby
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Accringtonvs
Grimsby
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.1%→Latest 49.5%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 52.8%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Accrington's 10 matches and 7 of Grimsby's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?