Cheltenham vs York Head to Head, Prediction
Whaddon Road
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.76
Draw
3.66
Away Win
1.93
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Cheltenham
York
S. McWilliams 🟨
5'
12'
⚽ O. Pearce
C. McCann (C. McCann) •
17'
J. Evans ⚽
17'
J. Evans (A. Weimann) ⚽
65'
73'
⚽ J. Malcolm (H. Boyes)
C. McCann ⚽
86'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. York edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
York stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards York
York's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a York win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cheltenham win
Latest market chance 25.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.6% → 25.3%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.3%
−0.6 pts
York win
Latest market chance 48.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
45.5% → 48.3%
+2.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cheltenham
Draw
York
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CheltenhamYork
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
3rd
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
2.33
1.67
Goals/Game
2.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
9.3
Shots/Game
16.9
3.7
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Cheltenham at home (4 matches) vs York away (4 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
0.50
2.25
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cheltenham
Home form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
York
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cheltenham Wins
0
Draws
3
York Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
York1 – 0Cheltenham
Cheltenham0 – 1York
York0 – 0Cheltenham
Cheltenham2 – 2York
Cheltenham1 – 1York
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cheltenhamvs
York
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 51.9%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 55.2%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Cheltenham's 10 matches and 7 of York's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?