Chesterfield vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction
SMH Group Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.13
Draw
3.75
Away Win
3.14
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Chesterfield
Barnet
Remeao Hutton 🟨
21'
29'
⚽ T. Knowles (C. Lakin)
George James McEachran 🟨
33'
Alfie Pond 🟨
37'
L. Marsh (A. Pond) ⚽
39'
45'
⚽ Z. Williams (T. Knowles)
50'
🟨 Oisin Gallagher
60'
🟨 Brandon Comley
L. Marsh ⚽
71'
72'
🟨 Idris Kanu
88'
⚽ K. Tshimanga (J. Maskell)
J. Randall (L. Bonis) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
23
7
Shots on Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
8
9
Fouls
19
3
Yellow Cards
3
6
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)
R. Boot
R. Hutton
A. Pond
J. Simpson
L. Gordon
G. McEachran
R. Stirk
D. Markanday
L. Mandeville
F. Bryden
L. Marsh
Barnet (4-2-3-1)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
Z. Williams
I. Kanu
B. Comley
N. Ofoborh
C. Lakin
O. Gallagher
T. Knowles
K. Tshimanga
Player Ratings ?
Chesterfield
Louie MarshF7.9
Lee BonisF7.6
Joel RandallM7.5
Barnet
Tom KnowlesM8.3
Kabongo TshimangaF7.3
Matthew CoxG7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chesterfield edge defence and head-to-head, Barnet edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Chesterfield
Chesterfield's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Chesterfield win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 44.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
40.0% → 44.0%
+4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.1% → 26.5%
−1.6 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 29.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
31.9% → 29.5%
−2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chesterfield
Draw
Barnet
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChesterfieldBarnet
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
2nd
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
0.75
Goals/Game
2.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
18.4
Shots/Game
15.7
6.4
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Chesterfield at home (5 matches) vs Barnet away (3 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
1.67
2.00
Goals/Game
2.33
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.67
40%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chesterfield
Home form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnet
Away form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chesterfield Wins
3
Draws
0
Barnet Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Barnet1 – 0Chesterfield
Chesterfield3 – 1Barnet
Barnet0 – 2Chesterfield
Chesterfield4 – 2Barnet
Barnet3 – 0Chesterfield
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chesterfieldvs
Barnet
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.90
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 53.8%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 57.6%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Chesterfield's 10 matches and 6 of Barnet's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?