Crewe vs York Head to Head, Prediction
Alexandra Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.82
Draw
3.42
Away Win
2.46
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Crewe
York
Luke Offord (Calum·Agius) ⚽
9'
13'
🟨 Ollie Banks
L. Billington 🟨
29'
40'
⚽ Alex Newby (Ollie Pearce)
90'
🟨 Morgan·Williams
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
17
Total Shots
27
6
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
9
12
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Crewe (3-4-3)
T. Booth
L. Billington
L. Offord
J. Stephenson
C. Agius
M. Holicek
J. White
R. Hutchinson
C. McNeill
J. March
J. Lankester
York (3-4-2-1)
A. McNally
R. Fallowfield
M. Williams
M. Kitching
J. Felix
A. Hunt
O. Banks
H. Boyes
J. Grey
A. Newby
O. Pearce
Player Ratings ?
Crewe
Calum AgiusM7.6
L. OffordD7.5
T. BoothG7.2
York
A. NewbyF8.0
A. HuntM7.2
Alfie Shane McNallyG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Crewe edge defence, York edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
York stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Crewe stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Crewe
Crewe's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Crewe win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. York remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crewe win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
37.9% → 32.7%
−5.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.3%
+0.4 pts
York win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
34.2% → 39.0%
+4.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crewe
Draw
York
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CreweYork
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
4
Games Played
4
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
12.0
Shots/Game
16.9
3.3
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Crewe at home (5 matches) vs York away (4 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.50
1.60
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crewe
Home form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
York
Away form
L
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crewe Wins
2
Draws
2
York Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
York1 – 1Crewe
Crewe0 – 1York
Crewe1 – 1York
York2 – 3Crewe
Crewe2 – 1York
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crewevs
York
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 51.2%+3.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 56.1%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Crewe's 10 matches and 6 of York's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?