Gillingham vs Bristol Rvs Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Priestfield Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.45
Draw
3.55
Away Win
2.07
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Gillingham
Bristol Rvs
James Brophy (Harry Waldock) ⚽
55'
65'
🟨 Ellis Harrison
68'
🟨 Kofi Balmer
S. Kendall (Nick Freeman) ⚽
85'
S. Kendall ⚽
89'
Garath McCleary 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
1
8
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Gillingham (3-4-2-1)
O. Wright
A. Smith
O. Beckles
L. Dobbs
N. Freeman
R. McKenzie
E. King
J. Brophy
Ronan Hale
H. Waldock
L. Sillah
Bristol Rvs (4-2-3-1)
Brad Young
T. James
K. Balmer
C. Kelly
B. Purrington
R. Smallwood
C. Mola
S. Forde
J. Aitchison
B. Kamwa
E. Harrison
Player Ratings ?
Gillingham
S. KendallM8.5
J. BrophyM8.2
H. WaldockM7.2
Bristol Rvs
T. JamesD6.9
F. CavegnF6.5
J. QuigleyF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gillingham edge head-to-head, Bristol Rvs edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gillingham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bristol Rovers have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Gillingham mirror that exact tally of two victories and two defeats in their own last five home outings. At home, Gillingham have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also managed two clean sheets within that same recent sample. Bristol Rvs rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Gillingham rate stronger on head-to-head. Bristol Rvs won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Gillingham's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Gillingham's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Bristol Rvs's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bristol Rvs win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gillingham win
Latest market chance 27.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.2% → 27.0%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.2% → 27.0%
+0.8 pts
Bristol Rvs win
Latest market chance 46.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
48.6% → 46.1%
−2.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gillingham
Draw
Bristol Rvs
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GillinghamBristol Rvs
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
2nd
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
2.00
1.33
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
10.3
Shots/Game
16.1
3.6
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Gillingham at home (5 matches) vs Bristol Rvs away (5 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.60
1.20
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
2.20
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gillingham
Home form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bristol Rvs
Away form
W
D
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gillingham Wins
3
Draws
1
Bristol Rvs Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Gillingham1 – 2Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs0 – 1Gillingham
Gillingham2 – 0Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs0 – 2Gillingham
Bristol Rvs1 – 1Gillingham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gillinghamvs
Bristol Rvs
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 50.9%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 55.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Gillingham's 10 matches and 4 of Bristol Rvs's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?