Grimsby vs Crawley Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Blundell Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.36
Draw
5.28
Away Win
7.50
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Charles Vernam •
13'
29'
🟨 Nicholas Michalski
Iwan Morgan ⚽ (P)
30'
39'
🟨 Priestley Farquharson
Kieran Green (Iwan Morgan) ⚽
42'
Maldini Kacurri 🟨
48'
58'
🟨 Ade Adeyemo
Géza Dávid Turi 🟨
65'
87'
🟨 Malcolm Ebiowei
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
22
Total Shots
13
11
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
6
17
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Grimsby (4-1-4-1)
C. Pym
H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri
C. McJannet
J. Sweeney
G. Turi
F. Cartwright
K. Green
M. Shelton
C. Vernam
Iwan Morgan
Crawley Town (4-4-2)
N. Michalski
K. Gordon
P. Farquharson
A. Odimayo
J. Russell
A. Adeyemo
J. Arthurs
Ty Ewens-Findlay
Osman Kamara
Dylan Morgan
D. Orsi
Player Ratings ?
Grimsby
K. GreenM7.9
Iwan MorganF7.7
J. FoulkesD7.3
Crawley Town
N. MichalskiG7.3
J. RussellD6.8
Dylan MorganNone6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Grimsby
Grimsby rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Grimsby an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Grimsby have secured three victories from their last five outings at home, while Crawley Town have managed just a single win in their corresponding away sample. The Mariners have found the net in every home game during this sequence yet have also kept three clean sheets within that same five-match span. Grimsby rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Grimsby won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 6 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Crawley Town's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Grimsby's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points, while Crawley Town's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Grimsby.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Grimsby
Grimsby's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Grimsby win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Grimsby win
Latest market chance 66.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
64.0% → 66.3%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.2% → 19.6%
−1.6 pts
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 14.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.8% → 14.1%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Grimsby
Draw
Crawley Town
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GrimsbyCrawley Town
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
23rd
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
0.67
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
15.7
Shots/Game
13.9
4.9
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Grimsby at home (5 matches) vs Crawley Town away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.60
Goals/Game
1.25
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.75
60%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Grimsby
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crawley Town
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Grimsby Wins
2
Draws
1
Crawley Town Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Crawley Town0 – 2Grimsby
Grimsby3 – 0Crawley Town
Crawley Town2 – 0Grimsby
Grimsby2 – 3Crawley Town
Crawley Town1 – 1Grimsby
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Grimsbyvs
Crawley Town
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 63.7%+3.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 57.0%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Grimsby's 10 matches and 4 of Crawley Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?