Oldham vs Salford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Boundary Park
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.48
Away Win
2.80
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 4
Match Events ?
Oldham
Salford
5'
⚽ Luke Molyneux (Joe Powell)
19'
⚽ Kelly N'Mai
Calum Kavanagh (Keenan Appiah-Forson) ⚽
21'
34'
🟨 Abraham Odoh
45+2'
🟨 Macaulay Langstaff
57'
⚽ Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu (Luke Molyneux)
81'
⚽ adebola oluwo (Luke Garbutt)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
18
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
7
11
Corner Kicks
5
17
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Oldham (5-3-2)
M. Hudson
G. Scott-Morriss
R. Delaney
L. Temple
E. Monthe
J. Robson
N. Chilvers
O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson
C. Kavanagh
M. Fondop-Talum
Salford (3-4-2-1)
W. Norris
W. Aimson
D. Scarr
T. Allen
L. Molyneux
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
J. Powell
A. Odoh
B. Woodburn
M. Langstaff
K. N’Mai
Player Ratings ?
Oldham
C. KavanaghF8.2
K. Appiah-ForsonM7.1
K. DrummondF6.4
Salford
L. MolyneuxM8.6
B. Sarpong-WireduM8.2
K. N’MaiF7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oldham edge attack, Salford edge recent form and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham have secured three victories from their last five outings at home, while Salford have managed just a single win in that same span away from home. Oldham have found the net in five of their last five matches at home and have also kept three clean sheets during that identical run. Salford rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Oldham hold a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Salford won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 18 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Oldham's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Salford losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oldham win
Latest market chance 38.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.6% → 38.6%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.9%
+0.3 pts
Salford win
Latest market chance 34.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.7% → 34.5%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oldham
Draw
Salford
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OldhamSalford
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
1.43
1.14
Goals/Game
1.14
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.29
15.0
Shots/Game
15.3
4.1
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Oldham at home (4 matches) vs Salford away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
2.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oldham
Home form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Salford
Away form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oldham Wins
1
Draws
0
Salford Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Oldham1 – 2Salford
Salford1 – 0Oldham
Oldham1 – 2Salford
Salford2 – 0Oldham
Oldham2 – 1Salford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oldhamvs
Salford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 54.3%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 58.7%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Oldham's 10 matches and 3 of Salford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?