Rochdale vs Shrewsbury Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Spotland Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.20
Draw
3.59
Away Win
3.11
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Rochdale
Shrewsbury
27'
🟨 T. Anderson
B. Adeeko ⚽
33'
L. Hannant (E. Dieseruvwe) ⚽
43'
50'
🟨 W. Boyle
69'
🟨 J. Gbode
T. Adebayo-Rowling 🟨
74'
J. Smith (D. Brown) ⚽
80'
83'
🟨 W. Gray
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rochdale edge attack and head-to-head, Shrewsbury edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Rochdale
Rochdale's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rochdale win as less likely than it did 1 day ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 43.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
44.7% → 43.7%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 27.4%
+0.6 pts
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 28.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 28.9%
+0.4 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Rochdale
Shrewsbury
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
18th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.33
Goals/Game
0.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
8.9
Shots/Game
13.2
3.1
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Rochdale at home (5 matches) vs Shrewsbury away (5 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.80
1.60
Goals/Game
0.60
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.80
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rochdale
Home form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Shrewsbury
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rochdale Wins
3
Draws
1
Shrewsbury Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2021-03-092020-2021
Rochdale0 – 2Shrewsbury
2020-10-242020-2021
Shrewsbury1 – 2Rochdale
2020-02-012019-2020
Rochdale1 – 0Shrewsbury
2019-08-172019-2020
Shrewsbury0 – 0Rochdale
2019-03-092018-2019
Rochdale2 – 1Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rochdale
vs
Shrewsbury
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
49.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.9%→Latest 49.7%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
11 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 54.1%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
10 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Rochdale's 10 matches and 7 of Shrewsbury's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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