Rotherham vs Salford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Aesseal New York Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.75
Draw
3.74
Away Win
2.37
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Rotherham
Salford
9'
⚽ Ryan Graydon (Luke Molyneux)
Denzel Hall 🟨
26'
31'
⚽ Joe Powell (Kallum Cesay)
brandon cover (Josh Austerfield) ⚽
33'
Paul Mullin ⚽ (P)
35'
44'
🟨 Kallum Cesay
55'
🟨 Abraham Odoh
Ossama Ashley ⚽
55'
Josh Austerfield 🟨
64'
69'
🟥 Abraham Odoh
Jili Buyabu 🟨
73'
74'
⚽ (P) Macaulay Langstaff
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
20
Total Shots
10
9
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Rotherham (3-4-1-2)
J. Eyestone
D. Hall
Sonny Aljofree
K. Ngwenya
A. Nemane
O. Ashley
Brandon Ashley Cover
E. Otoo
J. Austerfield
Fábio Tavares
P. Mullin
Salford (5-3-2)
W. Norris
L. Molyneux
W. Aimson
A. Oluwo
T. Allen
A. Odoh
K. Cesay
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
J. Powell
R. Graydon
M. Langstaff
Player Ratings ?
Rotherham
Brandon Ashley CoverM7.9
O. AshleyM7.4
P. MullinF7.3
Salford
R. GraydonF7.7
J. PowellM7.5
W. AimsonD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rotherham edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rotherham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rotherham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Rotherham arrive at home unbeaten in their last five outings with four victories and a solitary draw, while Salford have managed just one win alongside another draw from their corresponding away sample. The Millers have scored in each of their last five home matches but have only kept a single clean sheet within that same span. Rotherham rate stronger on form and attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Salford losing run
13
Rotherham points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Salford
Salford's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Salford win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rotherham win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
28.5% → 33.7%
+5.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.9% → 26.3%
+1.4 pts
Salford win
Latest market chance 40.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
46.6% → 40.0%
−6.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rotherham
Draw
Salford
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RotherhamSalford
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
15th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
1.20
1.20
Goals/Game
0.80
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.20
12.4
Shots/Game
15.3
3.8
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Rotherham at home (4 matches) vs Salford away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
2.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rotherham
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Salford
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Salford.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rotherhamvs
Salford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.1%→Latest 53.8%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 58.0%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Rotherham's 10 matches and 5 of Salford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?