Tranmere vs Rochdale Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Prenton Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.98
Draw
3.59
Away Win
3.52
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tranmere edge attack, Rochdale edge recent form, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rochdale arrive at this League Two fixture with a mixed away record of one win and two draws from their last five outings, while Tranmere boast an unbeaten run at home comprising two victories and three draws over the same span. Tranmere have scored in five of their last five home matches yet have managed just two clean sheets within that identical sample period. Rochdale rate stronger on form, while Tranmere rate stronger on attack, while defence and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2023, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rochdale losing run
45%
Tranmere yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 46.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.9% → 46.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.5%
±0.0 pts
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.6%
±0.0 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Tranmere
Rochdale
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
11th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.44
1.33
Goals/Game
1.11
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.22
11.2
Shots/Game
8.9
4.3
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Tranmere at home (4 matches) vs Rochdale away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
0.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tranmere
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Rochdale
Away form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tranmere Wins
1
Draws
2
Rochdale Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
2023-04-182022-2023
Rochdale2 – 2Tranmere
2022-10-252022-2023
Tranmere1 – 1Rochdale
2022-01-152021-2022
Tranmere2 – 0Rochdale
2021-09-112021-2022
Rochdale1 – 0Tranmere
2019-08-032019-2020
Tranmere2 – 3Rochdale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tranmere
vs
Rochdale
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
53.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.2%→Latest 50.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 53.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Tranmere's 10 matches and 1 of Rochdale's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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