Angers vs Marseille Head to Head, Prediction

Stade Raymond-Kopa
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.21
Draw
3.74
Away Win
2.12
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Angers edge recent form, Marseille edge attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Angers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Marseille slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Marseille stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 15 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Angers win
Latest market chance 30.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.8% → 30.5%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.0%
−0.1 pts
Marseille win
Latest market chance 43.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.0% → 43.5%
+0.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Angers
Draw
Marseille
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 15 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Angers
Marseille
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
17th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
0.60
1.20
Goals/Game
1.40
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.60
15.0
Shots/Game
13.2
3.0
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Angers at home (3 matches) vs Marseille away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Angers
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Marseille
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Angers Wins
0
Draws
2
Marseille Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
2026-01-172025-2026
Angers2 – 5Marseille
2025-10-292025-2026
Marseille2 – 2Angers
2025-02-092024-2025
Angers0 – 2Marseille
2024-10-042024-2025
Marseille1 – 1Angers
2023-05-142022-2023
Marseille3 – 1Angers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Angers
vs
Marseille
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
79.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 58.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.6%→Latest 61.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Angers's 10 matches and 5 of Marseille's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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