Lorient vs Monaco Head to Head, Prediction
Stade du Moustoir
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.40
Draw
3.43
Away Win
2.15
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Lorient edge head-to-head, Monaco edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Monaco stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Monaco slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Lorient stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 15 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lorient win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.2%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.6%
+0.1 pts
Monaco win
Latest market chance 45.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.4% → 45.2%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lorient
Draw
Monaco
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 15 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LorientMonaco
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
2.60
1.00
Goals/Game
1.60
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.60
10.4
Shots/Game
10.2
3.2
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Lorient at home (2 matches) vs Monaco away (3 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
2.33
1.50
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lorient
Home form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Monaco
Away form
W
L
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lorient Wins
2
Draws
2
Monaco Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.0
Monaco1 – 3Lorient
Lorient3 – 1Monaco
Monaco2 – 2Lorient
Lorient2 – 2Monaco
Monaco3 – 1Lorient
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lorientvs
Monaco
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 51.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 55.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Lorient's 10 matches and 5 of Monaco's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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