Nice vs Le Mans Head to Head, Prediction
Allianz Riviera
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.86
Draw
3.80
Away Win
4.26
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Nice
Le Mans
13'
⚽ A. Bourabaa (J. Vercruysse)
E. Wahi (S. Diop) ⚽
44'
58'
🟨 Alexandre Lauray
Youssouf Ndayishimiye 🟨
75'
82'
🟨 Noa Boissé
Elye Wahi 🟨
84'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
8
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
2
4
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Y. Diouf
M. Abdelmonem
Y. Ndayishimiye
X. Mandza Tsiendi
J. Clauss
D. Coulibaly
A. Witsel
N. Nkounkou
N. Ngoumou
S. Diop
E. Wahi
Le Mans (3-1-4-2)
E. Hatfout
N. Boisse
R. Torrente
H. Voyer
A. Lauray
R. Bamba
A. Bourabaa
J. Vercruysse
L. Calodat
L. Mafouta
D. Gueye
Player Ratings ?
Nice
Elye WahiF7.9
Jonathan ClaussM7.7
Mohamed AbdelmonemD7.3
Le Mans
Adil BourabaaM7.9
Harold VoyerD7.3
Raúl TorrenteD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nice edge defence and head-to-head, Le Mans edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Le Mans stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Le Mans stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nice stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nice stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Nice
Nice's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Nice win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nice win
Latest market chance 51.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
54.0% → 51.5%
−2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.7%
+0.4 pts
Le Mans win
Latest market chance 22.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
20.6% → 22.7%
+2.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nice
Draw
Le Mans
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NiceLe Mans
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
13th
2
Games Played
2
0.50
Points/Game
0.50
0.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
11.8
Shots/Game
10.4
3.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Nice at home (3 matches) vs Le Mans away (2 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nice
Home form
L
D
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Le Mans
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nice Wins
3
Draws
2
Le Mans Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.8
Le Mans0 – 1Nice
Nice1 – 0Le Mans
Le Mans1 – 2Nice
Nice2 – 2Le Mans
Nice0 – 0Le Mans
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nicevs
Le Mans
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 52.2%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 54.2%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Nice's 10 matches and 8 of Le Mans's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?