Paris FC vs Rennes Head to Head | Ligue 1

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Paris FC edge recent form and defence, Rennes edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Paris FC slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Closely matched

HomeAway

Defence

Paris FC stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Rennes stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 15 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Paris FC win

Latest market chance 41.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

41.8% → 41.8%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 27.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

27.8% → 27.8%

±0.0 pts

Rennes win

Latest market chance 30.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

30.4% → 30.4%

±0.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

3 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Paris FC

Draw

Rennes

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 15 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Paris FC

Rennes

Season Profile

This season

3rd

League Position

5th

Games Played

2.20

Points/Game

2.00

1.60

Goals/Game

1.60

0.60

Conceded/Game

1.80

13.2

Shots/Game

16.2

4.6

Shots on Target

5.4

Home vs Away ContextEarly sample

Paris FC at home (3 matches) vs Rennes away (2 matches)

2.33

Points/Game

1.50

1.67

Goals/Game

1.00

0.33

Conceded/Game

2.50

67%

Win Rate

50%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Paris FC

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

2 of these matches from last season.

2.2

Goals scored
per match

0.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

3/5

Clean
sheets

Rennes

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

1.6

Goals scored
per match

2.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Paris FC Wins

Draws

Rennes Wins

Avg Goals

2.0

2026-05-102025-2026

Rennes2 – 1Paris FC

2025-11-072025-2026

Paris FC0 – 1Rennes

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Paris FC

Rennes

Recent Scoring Profile

1.80

Goals scored / game

1.80

0.80

Goals conceded / game

1.80

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

9/10

5/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

3/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

78.5%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

57.2%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

37.5%

BTTSBoth teams score

61.4%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 57.2%→Latest 57.2%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 61.3%→Latest 61.3%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

5 of Paris FC's 10 matches and 5 of Rennes's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Paris FC vs Rennes Head to Head, Prediction