Paris FC vs Strasbourg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Jean Bouin
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
3.72
Away Win
3.75
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Ilan Kebbal (Lassine Sinayoko) ⚽
18'
Maxime López 🟨
40'
Pablo Pagis (Maxime López) ⚽
57'
63'
🟨 Diogo Sousa
67'
🟨 Gessime Yassine
88'
⚽ (OG) Moustapha Mbow
Thibault De Smet 🟨
90'
Luca Koleosho 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
0
17
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Paris FC (4-2-3-1)
K. Trapp
A. Camara
M. Mbow
D. Coppola
H. Traoré
P. Lees-Melou
M. Lopez
I. Kebbal
P. Pagis
L. Koleosho
L. Sinayoko
Strasbourg (4-2-3-1)
F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi
J. Mitchell
I. Doukouré
Oso
S. El Mourabet
Diogo Sousa
Gessime Yassine
G. Reyna
S. Nanasi
J. Ortega
Player Ratings ?
Paris FC
I. KebbalM8.2
L. SinayokoF7.7
P. PagisM7.7
Strasbourg
F. JörgensenG7.3
S. Amo-AmeyawF6.8
G. AntwiD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paris FC edge recent form and defence, Strasbourg edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Paris FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Strasbourg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paris FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Strasbourg have secured three wins from their last five away outings across various campaigns, while Paris FC mirror that same record of three victories in their last five home matches. Paris FC have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures, though they have also kept three clean sheets during that identical sample period. The hosts face availability concerns with three players out and one doubtful, whereas Strasbourg have two absentees but no doubts surrounding their squad. Paris FC rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Strasbourg rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Paris FC's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points, while Strasbourg's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Paris FC
Paris FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Paris FC win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paris FC win
Latest market chance 47.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
46.3% → 47.9%
+1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.0%
−0.4 pts
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 26.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.4% → 26.1%
−1.3 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Paris FCStrasbourg
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
6th
4
Games Played
4
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
1.50
Goals/Game
2.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.2
Shots/Game
11.6
4.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Paris FC at home (3 matches) vs Strasbourg away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
2.33
0.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Paris FC
Home form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Strasbourg
Away form
W
D
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paris FC Wins
0
Draws
1
Strasbourg Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.5
Strasbourg0 – 0Paris FC
Paris FC2 – 3Strasbourg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paris FCvs
Strasbourg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
2.10
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 58.1%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 59.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Paris FC's 10 matches and 6 of Strasbourg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?