Troyes vs Strasbourg Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.12
Draw
3.48
Away Win
2.35
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 6
Match Events ?
Troyes
Strasbourg
A. Mille (A. Ouzenadji) ⚽
9'
Michel Diaz 🟨
37'
40'
⚽ J. Ortega (G. Yassine)
42'
⚽ D. Sousa
45+2'
🟨 Pape Diop
57'
⚽ G. Reyna (J. Ortega)
85'
⚽ S. Amo-Ameyaw (D. Essugo)
88'
⚽ S. Amo-Ameyaw
90'
⚽ C. Harder (D. Sousa)
J. Le Douaron (K. Diawara) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
27
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Goal
12
11
Corner Kicks
0
6
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Offsides
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Troyes (4-2-3-1)
P. Beach
L. Maronnier
A. Monfray
J. M. Diaz
A. Ouzenadji
A. Mille
M. Diop
M. Ifnaoui
D. Karim
H. Picard
R. Ripart
Strasbourg (4-3-3)
F. Jorgensen
G. Antwi
J. Mitchell
I. Doukoure
Oso
D. Sousa
P. Demba
G. Reyna
G. Yassine
J. Ortega
S. Nanasi
Player Ratings ?
Troyes
Antoine MilleM8.7
Kandet DiawaraF8.2
Lucas MaronnierD7.7
Strasbourg
Samuel Amo-AmeyawF8.9
Gessime YassineF8.0
Conrad HarderF7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Strasbourg
Strasbourg rate stronger in recent form and attack; Troyes edge defence and head-to-head, giving Strasbourg a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Strasbourg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Troyes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Troyes stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Troyes win
Latest market chance 30.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.9% → 30.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.0%
−0.1 pts
Strasbourg win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.1% → 41.2%
+0.1 pts
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TroyesStrasbourg
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
12th
2
Games Played
2
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
14.8
Shots/Game
11.6
2.8
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Troyes at home (2 matches) vs Strasbourg away (3 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.33
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.67
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Troyes
Home form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Strasbourg
Away form
W
W
D
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Troyes Wins
1
Draws
3
Strasbourg Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Troyes1 – 1Strasbourg
Strasbourg2 – 3Troyes
Troyes1 – 1Strasbourg
Strasbourg1 – 1Troyes
Strasbourg2 – 1Troyes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Troyesvs
Strasbourg
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 50.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.5%→Latest 55.7%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
8 of Troyes's 10 matches and 8 of Strasbourg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?