Boulogne vs Nantes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de la Libération
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.69
Draw
3.12
Away Win
2.23
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Boulogne
Nantes
35'
🟨 Frédéric Guilbert
49'
⚽ Igniatius Ganago (Ibrahima Sissoko)
Nolan Binet (Noah Fatar) ⚽
52'
Mathieu Mion 🟨
77'
Mathieu Mion 🟥
90+3'
Blondy Nna Noukeu 🟨
90+6'
Demba Thiam 🟨
90+6'
90+7'
⚽ (P) Thomas Robinet
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
2
1
Corner Kicks
6
16
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Boulogne (3-4-3)
Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
D. Thiam
A. Kerriou
T. Brusco
N. Binet
J. Bultel
T. Epailly
M. Mion
A. Hbouch
B. Besic
N. Fatar
Nantes (5-3-2)
M. Dupé
F. Doucouré
F. Guilbert
L. Perrin
S. Sow
R. Hachem
B. Pierret
I. Sissoko
M. Cafaro
I. Ganago
T. Robinet
Player Ratings ?
Boulogne
N. BinetM7.2
N. FatarF7.0
A. HbouchF6.6
Nantes
I. GanagoF7.8
I. SissokoM7.0
T. RobinetF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Boulogne edge defence and head-to-head, Nantes edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nantes stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Boulogne slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boulogne stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nantes have managed just one victory in their last five away fixtures, while Boulogne remain winless at home during that same span. Boulogne have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that period. Nantes rate stronger on form and attack, while Boulogne rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2012. Over the 6-day comparison window, Boulogne's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Nantes's implied win probability has risen by 0.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Nantes losing run
3
Boulogne points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Boulogne
Boulogne's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Boulogne win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Nantes remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Boulogne win
Latest market chance 27.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.9% → 27.0%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.2% → 29.0%
+0.8 pts
Nantes win
Latest market chance 44.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.9% → 44.0%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Boulogne
Draw
Nantes
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BoulogneNantes
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
18th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
0.67
0.33
Goals/Game
1.17
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.6
Shots/Game
14.0
4.0
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Boulogne at home (4 matches) vs Nantes away (4 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Boulogne
Home form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nantes
Away form
W
D
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Boulogne Wins
2
Draws
2
Nantes Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Nantes3 – 3Boulogne
Boulogne2 – 1Nantes
Nantes1 – 2Boulogne
Boulogne0 – 0Nantes
Nantes3 – 0Boulogne
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Boulognevs
Nantes
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.2%→Latest 45.0%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 50.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Boulogne's 10 matches and 4 of Nantes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?