Dunkerque vs St Etienne Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Marcel Tribut
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.33
Draw
4.12
Away Win
1.67
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Dunkerque
St Etienne
19'
🟨 Julien Le Cardinal
Adrian Lebeau 🟨
39'
43'
⚽ Augustine Boakye (Zuriko Davitashvili)
51'
🟨 Tamar Svetlin
Khalil Ayari (Souleymane Keita) ⚽
52'
Khalil Ayari 🟨
52'
Souleymane Keita (Victor Mayela) ⚽
58'
Théna Massock 🟨
90'
Franck Leroy Atoen 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
7
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
20
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
6
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Moha Airam
A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté
V. Mayela
L. Vallier
J. Morel
Théna Massock
K. Ayari
A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev
S. Keita
St Etienne (4-2-3-1)
G. Larsonneur
K. Pedro
J. Le Cardinal
S. Nair
M. Bernauer
T. Svetlin
Á. Csongvai
A. Boakye
Z. Davitashvili
T. Ballo
I. Cardona
Player Ratings ?
Dunkerque
S. KeitaF8.4
K. AyariM7.5
Moha AiramG7.3
St Etienne
Á. CsongvaiM7.2
Z. DavitashviliM7.0
A. BoakyeM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St Etienne
St Etienne rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving St Etienne a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St Etienne have secured two victories and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Dunkerque have managed just one win and a single draw in the same number of home outings. Dunkerque have found the net in two of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. St Etienne rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. St Etienne won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 11 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Dunkerque's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.75 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives St Etienne a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St Etienne unbeaten run
3/4
One-goal H2H results
75%
Dunkerque yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards St Etienne
St Etienne's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St Etienne win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dunkerque win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.6% → 21.3%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.8% → 23.9%
−0.9 pts
St Etienne win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
52.5% → 54.7%
+2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dunkerque
Draw
St Etienne
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DunkerqueSt Etienne
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.60
Goals/Game
3.20
1.80
Conceded/Game
0.80
11.9
Shots/Game
15.4
3.9
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away Context
Dunkerque at home (4 matches) vs St Etienne away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.75
1.75
Goals/Game
2.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dunkerque
Home form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Etienne
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dunkerque Wins
2
Draws
0
St Etienne Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
St Etienne2 – 1Dunkerque
Dunkerque1 – 0St Etienne
Dunkerque1 – 0St Etienne
St Etienne2 – 0Dunkerque
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dunkerquevs
St Etienne
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 55.7%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 56.7%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Dunkerque's 10 matches and 5 of St Etienne's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?