Guingamp vs Red Star Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de Roudourou
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.42
Draw
3.55
Away Win
2.91
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Guingamp
Red Star
Erwin Koffi 🟨
3'
Donacien Gomis 🟥
12'
24'
⚽ Damien Durand (Islamdine Halifa)
Jeovanni Dianganga 🟨
29'
38'
⚽ Jovany Ikanga A Ngele (Islamdine Halifa)
50'
🟨 Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
Erwin Koffi (V. Muntu Wa Mungu) ⚽
67'
69'
⚽ Damien Durand (Jovany Ikanga A Ngele)
72'
🟨 Bradley Danger
81'
🟨 Dylan Durivaux
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
11
Total Shots
24
3
Shots on Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
23
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Adrián Ortolá
E. Koffi
D. Gomis
J. Dianganga
T. Ollila
T. Averlant
D. Louiserre
T. Ducrocq
S. Ben Brahim
T. Ahile
B. Bokangu
Red Star (4-2-3-1)
G. Poussin
T. Magnin
D. Durivaux
J. Escartin
M. Huard
B. Danger
I. Halifa
G. Kyeremeh
S. Khaoui
D. Durand
J. Ikanga A Ngele
Player Ratings ?
Guingamp
J. ChamakhF6.7
Vimoj Muntu Wa MunguD6.5
B. BokanguF6.4
Red Star
D. DurandM9.6
J. Ikanga A NgeleF9.0
I. HalifaM8.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Red Star
Red Star rate stronger in recent form and head-to-head; attack and defence are closely matched, giving Red Star a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Red Star have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Guingamp managed two victories in that same span at home. Guingamp have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that period. Red Star rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Red Star won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 24 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 4 encounters to Guingamp's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Guingamp's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Red Star's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Red Star a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Red Star
Red Star's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Red Star win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Guingamp remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Guingamp win
Latest market chance 39.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
40.6% → 39.5%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.3% → 27.4%
−0.9 pts
Red Star win
Latest market chance 33.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
31.1% → 33.0%
+1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Guingamp
Draw
Red Star
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GuingampRed Star
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
4th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
1.83
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.3
Shots/Game
15.7
5.7
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Guingamp at home (4 matches) vs Red Star away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
2.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.75
1.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Guingamp
Home form
D
L
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Red Star
Away form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Guingamp Wins
0
Draws
0
Red Star Wins
4
Avg Goals
5.0
Red Star3 – 2Guingamp
Guingamp0 – 4Red Star
Red Star3 – 1Guingamp
Guingamp3 – 4Red Star
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Guingampvs
Red Star
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 54.5%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 58.7%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Guingamp's 10 matches and 4 of Red Star's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?