Metz vs St Etienne Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.61
Draw
3.67
Away Win
2.01
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Metz
St Etienne
12'
🟨 Sohaib Nair
Believe Munongo 🟨
30'
38'
🟨 Augustine Boakye
Jessy Deminguet 🟨
52'
67'
⚽ Kevin Pedro (Augustine Boakye)
71'
⚽ Augustine Boakye (Áron Csongvai)
Abdourahmane Mbodj (Jean Ruiz) ⚽
79'
81'
🟨 Julien Le Cardinal
Jessy Deminguet ⚽
89'
90'
🟨 Kevin Pedro
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
6
14
Fouls
21
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Metz (4-2-3-1)
J. Fischer
B. Sarr
C. Devenish
J. Ruiz
F. Miguel
J. Deminguet
B. Munongo
G. Abuashvili
T. Savanier
H. Kadamani
P. Fall
St Etienne (4-4-2)
G. Larsonneur
K. Pedro
J. Le Cardinal
S. Nair
B. Old
A. Boakye
M. Bernauer
Á. Csongvai
T. Ballo
I. Cardona
J. Breum
Player Ratings ?
Metz
J. DeminguetM8.0
Abdourahmane MbodjNone7.4
T. SavanierM7.2
St Etienne
A. BoakyeM8.4
Á. CsongvaiM7.7
Z. DavitashviliF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Metz edge head-to-head, St Etienne edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Etienne stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Etienne slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Etienne slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Metz stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St Etienne have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, whereas Metz remain unbeaten at home with three draws in that same span. Metz have scored in all of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. St Etienne rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while Metz rate stronger on head-to-head. Metz won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 22 April 2023, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to St Etienne's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Metz's implied win probability has fallen by 4.0 percentage points, while St Etienne's implied win probability has risen by 5.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
St Etienne unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards St Etienne
St Etienne's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St Etienne win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Metz win
Latest market chance 26.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
30.7% → 26.7%
−4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.6% → 26.7%
−1.9 pts
St Etienne win
Latest market chance 46.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
40.7% → 46.6%
+5.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Metz
Draw
St Etienne
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MetzSt Etienne
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
1st
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
2.50
1.33
Goals/Game
2.83
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.6
Shots/Game
15.4
4.0
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away Context
Metz at home (4 matches) vs St Etienne away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
2.25
Goals/Game
2.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Metz
Home form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Etienne
Away form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Metz Wins
2
Draws
1
St Etienne Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
St Etienne1 – 3Metz
Metz3 – 2St Etienne
St Etienne1 – 0Metz
Metz1 – 1St Etienne
St Etienne1 – 0Metz
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Metzvs
St Etienne
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.0%→Latest 55.5%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.0%→Latest 57.9%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Metz's 10 matches and 4 of St Etienne's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?