Reims vs Montpellier Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Auguste-Delaune
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.04
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.80
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Reims
Montpellier
7'
⚽ Nordan Mukiele (Théo Chennahi)
Armel Zohouri 🟨
18'
Yaya Fofana ⚽
33'
59'
🟨 Daylam Meddah
N'Tamon Elie 🟨
69'
Armel Zohouri 🟥
71'
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
21
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Reims (4-2-3-1)
T. Hülsmann
A. Zohouri
N. Ahouonon
S. Kotto
D. Guindo
T. Leoni
C. Kouranfal
A. Tia
Y. Fofana
M. Daramy
S. Soumano
Montpellier (4-2-3-1)
S. Ngapandouetnbu
Naoufel El Hannach
J. Laporte
T. Sainte-Luce
Y. Zouaoui
D. Meddah
F. Tardieu
N. Pays
T. Chennahi
N. Mukiele
M. Camara
Player Ratings ?
Reims
Y. FofanaM7.9
A. TiaM7.2
D. GuindoD6.9
Montpellier
T. ChennahiM7.7
N. MukieleM7.6
S. NgapandouetnbuG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Reims edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Montpellier edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Reims slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Reims stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Montpellier stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Reims stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Montpellier have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins from their last five outings across seasons, while Reims remain unbeaten at home in that same span with two victories and three draws. Reims have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Reims rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Montpellier rate stronger on defence. The most recent meeting, on 27 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Reims's implied win probability has fallen by 5.3 percentage points, while Montpellier's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Reims
Reims's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Reims win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Reims win
Latest market chance 47.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
52.9% → 47.6%
−5.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.3% → 27.3%
+3.0 pts
Montpellier win
Latest market chance 25.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.7% → 25.1%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Reims
Draw
Montpellier
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ReimsMontpellier
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
1.83
2.33
Goals/Game
0.83
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.67
12.3
Shots/Game
13.0
4.9
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Reims at home (4 matches) vs Montpellier away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.75
2.25
Goals/Game
1.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Reims
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montpellier
Away form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Reims Wins
2
Draws
2
Montpellier Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Montpellier0 – 0Reims
Reims2 – 0Montpellier
Montpellier0 – 0Reims
Reims4 – 2Montpellier
Reims1 – 2Montpellier
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Reimsvs
Montpellier
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 53.7%−2.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 56.8%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Reims's 10 matches and 4 of Montpellier's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?