Rodez vs Nancy Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Paul Lignon
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.43
Draw
3.42
Away Win
2.98
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 4
Match Events ?
Rodez
Nancy
4'
⚽ Ilyes Housni (Pape Meissa Ba)
Yannis Nahounou ⚽ (OG)
7'
Loni Laurent 🟨
16'
Raphael Lipinski (Antonin Cartillier) ⚽
20'
20'
🟨 Zakaria Fdaouch
47'
⚽ Pape Meissa Ba (Nordine Kandil)
51'
⚽ Nehemiah Fernandez (Nordine Kandil)
Jean Lambert Evan's (Mathis Touho) ⚽
59'
Mathis Saka 🟨
72'
74'
⚽ Pape Meissa Ba
Mathis Magnin 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
24
5
Shots on Goal
8
4
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Rodez (4-4-2)
E. Crombez
L. Quenabio
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
E. Jean-Lambert
S. Luyambula Biwa
M. Saka
J. Mendes
Antonin Cartillier
N. Nsingi
M. Touho
Nancy (4-4-2)
E. Basilio
N. Fernandez-Veliz
Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy
E. Tacafred
N. Kandil
K. Kebe
W. Bouabdelli
El Hadari
I. Housni
P. Meïssa Ba
Player Ratings ?
Rodez
M. TouhoF6.9
R. LipinskiD6.8
Antonin CartillierM6.5
Nancy
P. Meïssa BaF9.5
N. KandilM8.6
I. HousniF8.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rodez edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Nancy edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rodez slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nancy stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rodez have secured three victories in their last five home outings, while Nancy's away record over the same span shows two wins alongside two draws and a single defeat. At home, Rodez have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Rodez rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Nancy rate stronger on defence. Rodez won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 23 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Nancy's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Rodez's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points, while Nancy's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Rodez
Rodez's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rodez win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rodez win
Latest market chance 40.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.4% → 40.1%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 27.6%
+0.7 pts
Nancy win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 32.4%
+1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rodez
Draw
Nancy
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RodezNancy
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.17
1.83
Goals/Game
0.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
15.4
Shots/Game
14.7
5.9
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Rodez at home (4 matches) vs Nancy away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.75
2.00
Goals/Game
1.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rodez
Home form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nancy
Away form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rodez Wins
2
Draws
3
Nancy Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Nancy1 – 3Rodez
Rodez0 – 0Nancy
Rodez1 – 1Nancy
Nancy0 – 2Rodez
Rodez1 – 1Nancy
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rodezvs
Nancy
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 52.5%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 57.2%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Rodez's 10 matches and 4 of Nancy's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?