Aldershot vs Tamworth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.44
Draw
3.80
Away Win
2.61
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Aldershot
Tamworth
B. Peart (H. Sandah) ⚽
2'
M. Efete ⚽
19'
29'
🟨 T. Lyttle
M. Dinanga (B. Peart) ⚽
33'
M. Efete (C. Lawless) ⚽
44'
C. Lawless 🟨
45+9'
K. Oshilaja 🟨
46'
M. Dinanga ⚽
51'
K. Oshilaja 🟨
79'
K. Oshilaja 🟥
79'
90+2'
⚽ B. Acquaye (K. Donnelly)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Aldershot edge recent form, Tamworth edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aldershot stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tamworth stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Tamworth arrive at this National League clash with a difficult run having secured just one draw from their last five away outings, while Aldershot have managed two wins and a solitary defeat in their corresponding home sample to cross seasons. At home, Aldershot have found the net in three of their last five matches but have managed only a single clean sheet within that same period. Aldershot rate stronger on form, while Tamworth rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Tamworth points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aldershot win
Latest market chance 38.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.9% → 38.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.3%
±0.0 pts
Tamworth win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.8% → 36.4%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aldershot
Draw
Tamworth
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AldershotTamworth
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
21st
9
Games Played
9
1.67
Points/Game
0.89
1.11
Goals/Game
1.78
0.78
Conceded/Game
2.56
8.7
Shots/Game
11.3
4.2
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Aldershot at home (6 matches) vs Tamworth away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.57
1.83
Goals/Game
1.43
1.17
Conceded/Game
3.00
50%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aldershot
Home form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tamworth
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aldershot Wins
0
Draws
2
Tamworth Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Tamworth1 – 1Aldershot
Aldershot1 – 2Tamworth
Aldershot2 – 2Tamworth
Tamworth3 – 2Aldershot
Tamworth1 – 0Aldershot
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aldershotvs
Tamworth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded / game
2.40
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 61.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.9%→Latest 64.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Aldershot's 10 matches and 1 of Tamworth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?