Barrow vs Scunthorpe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Holker Street
Tue 29 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.09
Draw
3.82
Away Win
3.16
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Barrow
Scunthorpe
5'
🟨 S. Ashbee
P. Kalambayi 🟨
5'
I. Marriott 🟨
10'
46'
🟨 J. Rowley
53'
🟨 R. Ogle
R. Harper (M. Oakley) ⚽
68'
A. Reid ⚽
71'
82'
🟨 H. Parker
A. Allen (D. Mooney) ⚽
87'
C. Edwards 🟨
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Barrow stronger
Barrow rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Barrow stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Scunthorpe have recorded just one victory in their last five away outings, while Barrow sit on two wins from their last five matches at home. Barrow have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have managed just two clean sheets during that same period. Barrow rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Barrow won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 March 2022, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Scunthorpe's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.75 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Barrow's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Scunthorpe's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Barrow stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/4
One-goal H2H results
3
Scunthorpe points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Scunthorpe win as more likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Barrow remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barrow win
Latest market chance 44.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
46.0% → 44.9%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 25.8%
−0.1 pts
Scunthorpe win
Latest market chance 29.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.2% → 29.4%
+1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barrow
Draw
Scunthorpe
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarrowScunthorpe
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
20th
10
Games Played
10
1.20
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
8.9
Shots/Game
7.6
4.9
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Barrow at home (6 matches) vs Scunthorpe away (6 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.83
Goals/Game
1.00
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.00
67%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barrow
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Scunthorpe
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barrow Wins
2
Draws
1
Scunthorpe Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Scunthorpe0 – 1Barrow
Barrow1 – 1Scunthorpe
Barrow1 – 0Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe2 – 1Barrow
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barrowvs
Scunthorpe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.4%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 59.2%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?